Choose your electoral district
Last updated: Jan 8, 2026 at 6:02 PM
Choose which geographical levels to display. Regional level is ABOVE Subnational level.
Don't see the regions you need? Define your own custom groupings (city-level, regional, or any breakdown).
Cap parties at this multiple of regional average (e.g., 1.5x means cap at 150% of regional avg)
Percentage of excess above threshold to reduce (higher = more aggressive capping)
Only cap values above this percentage (e.g., 50% means ignore parties below 50%)
Compare riding values against regional or national average
Fills in projected results for parties without candidates using historical data and regional swing patterns.
Show historical candidate names (e.g. "Rupert Lowe") next to projected vote shares. Parties with no candidate in the prior election won't appear when this is on.
Region-scoped tweaks applied on top of the swing projection. + = add percentage points (e.g. +5 means baseline 30% → 35%). × = scale by percent (e.g. 10 means baseline × 1.10). More-specific levels override less specific for the same (region, party).
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Apply percentage adjustments to specific ridings. Positive values boost a party's support, negative values reduce it. These adjustments are applied after regional calculations.
Additive (Green Row)
+5 adds 5 points → 30% becomes 35%
Multiplicative (Purple Row)
+5 → ×1.05 → 30% becomes 31.5%
⚠️ Note: Final results may differ slightly from these examples due to the complexity of the calculation process (normalization, regional weighting, etc.)
Showing 27 of 27 ridings
