ABOUT / POLIWAVE

Election tools you can inspect, test and understand.

Poliwave is a small project built by hobbyists and engineers to make elections easier to explore. The model, evidence and historical record are presented together so a forecast is never just a number on a page.

Read the methodology → Meet the team ↓
October 2024Project launched
Forecasts + simulatorsOne shared model
Methods publishedRules and sources documented
Public toolsFree to explore

START HERE

Explore the project

Go straight to the evidence, rules or project information you need.

Model and evidence

Understand the numbers

01 Methodology How votes become seats, including swing rules and model inputs. 02 Past accuracy Backtests and the record of published Poliwave forecasts. 03 Data sources Election, polling and boundary sources, with provenance.

Rules and access

See how the site works

04 Electoral systems How the site represents each country's own election laws. 05 Transparency What Poliwave publishes, labels and changes when evidence improves. 06 API How to use published Poliwave data in another project.

Project information

Reuse and attribution

07 Credits People, projects and public institutions behind the data. 08 Licensing What you may reuse and how to attribute it. 09 Disclaimer The limits of projections and what the site does not claim.

WHAT POLIWAVE DOES

Put the model in the reader’s hands.

Most forecasters publish a number and keep the model to themselves. Poliwave works the other way around: the simulator on the site is the same model behind the projections, so readers can inspect the assumptions and run their own scenarios.

Poliwave launched in October 2024. In August 2025, Raymond released the first modern interactive electoral simulators, allowing anyone to work with the model instead of only reading a forecast.

01

Show the machinery

The methodology, sources and past performance sit beside the forecasts instead of behind them.

02

Let readers test it

The public simulator uses the same model as the published projections, so anyone can try another scenario.

03

Keep evidence attached

Results, maps and projection pages link back to their records, definitions and underlying sources.

PEOPLE

The team

A small group maintaining the model, data, website and visual identity.

Raymond Liu

Founder & Lead Developer

Raymond began building election models in Excel at 14, after watching a single one-hour Excel tutorial. He went on to found Poliwave and, in August 2025, built the first modern interactive electoral simulators, which let people work directly with the model instead of only reading a published forecast. He built and maintains nearly everything on the website, including the projection model, polling averages, simulators, election archive and infrastructure.

  • High school student, Ottawa

Election modellingPolling analysisFull-stack developmentData engineering

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Minsoo Choo

Programmer

Minsoo modernized the Poliwave website in early 2025, laying the foundation that enabled it to become what it is today. With more than five years of software development experience, he continues to help maintain the site's architecture and infrastructure.

  • Computer Engineering, University of Waterloo (Expected 2030)

System architectureFull-stack developmentInfrastructure

X ↗ LinkedIn ↗

Caules Ge

Programmer

Caules extends Poliwave's functionality with experimental features such as user polls, accounts and more.

  • Bachelor of Computer Science, University of Toronto
  • MEng in Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Waterloo (Expected 2027)

Full-stack developmentInfrastructure

X ↗ LinkedIn ↗

Carson

Communications & Design

Carson handles communications for Poliwave and designed the logo and brand visuals.

CommunicationsLogo and brand design

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