If you find an error contact me immediately DM me on X email
Database powered by Neon
About Poliwave

Meet the Team Behind Poliwave

We're a small group of hobbyists and engineers trying to make elections easier to understand for regular people. The methodology is documented on the site rather than hidden, so you can see how the projections are actually made.

Our Mission

Most forecasters publish a number and keep the model to themselves. Poliwave works the other way around: the simulator on the site is the same model behind the projections, so you can look at how it works and run your own scenarios.

Poliwave was a pioneer of the interactive electoral simulator. It started in July 2025, and the first interactive Canadian seat simulator went live that August, before anyone else had built one.

Accuracy

The model is checked against some past elections, and the accuracy page shows the track record so far.

Transparency

Most of the methodology, the formulas, swing rules, and data sources, is written up on the site, and you can share any scenario you build with a link.

Free to use

Free and runs in the browser. You don't need an account to use it; signing up is optional, just for voting in the polls.

Our Team

The people who work on Poliwave.

Raymond Liu
Raymond Liu

Founder & Lead Developer

17-year-old high school student in Ottawa. Founded Poliwave and writes and maintains most of the platform end-to-end: the projection model, the polling aggregation, the interactive simulator, and the SvelteKit website. Started with Canadian federal and provincial coverage going back to 1867, and is steadily expanding other countries.

High school student, Ottawa
Election ModelingPolling AnalysisFull Stack DevelopmentData Engineering
Minsoo Choo
Minsoo Choo

Programmer

With 5+ years of experience in software development, Minsoo keeps Poliwave's architecture and infrastructure carefully maintained.

Computer Engineering, University of Waterloo (Expected 2030)
System ArchitectureFull Stack DevelopmentInfrastructure
Caules Ge
Caules Ge

Programmer

With 1 year of experience in software development, Caules extends Poliwave's functionality with experimental features such as user polls, signups, and more

Bachelor of Computer Science, University of Toronto
MEng in Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Waterloo (Expected 2027)
Full Stack DevelopmentInfrastructure
Carson
Carson

Communications & Design

Carson handles communications for Poliwave and designed the logo and brand visuals.

CommunicationsLogo & Brand Design