Election Projections & Analysis
Pick any country on the map to open its seat forecast, polls, historical results and simulator.
New in Poliwave Pro
Run a campaign in The Campaign and redraw the map with the Canada Redistricter. Included with Pro.
Each country is coloured by the party leading its latest projection. Click any country to open it. Grey means a projection is on the way.
US Election Simulator
Redraw any US election, county by county. Move the vote across all 3,143 counties and every state, and the Electoral College, House and Senate recalculate instantly. Every presidential result from 1824 to 2024, plus the midterms and the next race. First to 270 wins.
Or explore the 2026 US midterm projection — live House, Senate & President forecast maps.
Explore Our Tools
The maps, polls, and simulators behind the projections
World Election Simulator
Swing any party on one interactive world map and watch the seats recalculate for all 139 countries.
Seat Projections
Constituency-level projections with confidence intervals from Monte Carlo simulation
Electoral Map
Interactive map showing projected winners across all 343 federal constituencies
Poll Tracker
Latest polling data with trend charts and pollster analysis
Election Simulator
Create your own projection by adjusting party support levels
Constituency Finder
Search and explore all constituencies with detailed breakdowns
Historical Data
Past election results and electoral trends over time
Virtual Election
Don't believe the polls? Show us your vote!
About Poliwave
Poliwave takes today's polls and turns them into a seat projection for every constituency, using past results and a swing model. It runs the election thousands of times to show the range of likely outcomes, not just a single number.
Canada is the most detailed jurisdiction: every federal election since 1867, all 10 provinces, down to each riding. In 2025, Poliwave produced the most accurate seat count of any Canadian federal projection, within a point of the established benchmark at the riding level. Built and run by one person.
Poliwave does not conduct polls. Projections are statistical estimates based on publicly available polling data.