Election Projections & Analysis
Constituency-level projections, interactive maps, and polling analysis for elections across democracies worldwide
Election data and projections for democracies around the world. Canada is the most detailed: every federal election since 1867, all 10 provinces, down to each riding. The UK, France, the US, and dozens more are here too.
Every election here comes with its own simulator. Re-run a past campaign, test a what-if, or turn today's polls into a seat projection for each constituency.
It did well in 2025: the most accurate seat count of any Canadian federal projection, and riding-level accuracy within a point of the established benchmark. Built and run by one person.
Canada
Federal Election
343 seats in the House of Commons
Provincial Elections
British Columbia
93 seats
Alberta
87 seats
Saskatchewan
61 seats
Manitoba
57 seats
Ontario
124 seats
Quebec
125 seats
New Brunswick
49 seats
Nova Scotia
55 seats
Prince Edward Island
27 seats
Newfoundland and Labrador
40 seats
United Kingdom
United Kingdom
France
France
International coverage
60 countries and 13 subnational jurisdictions on poliwave.com.
Explore Our Tools
The maps, polls, and simulators behind the projections
Seat Projections
Constituency-level projections with confidence intervals from Monte Carlo simulation
Electoral Map
Interactive map showing projected winners across all 343 federal constituencies
Poll Tracker
Latest polling data with trend charts and pollster analysis
Election Simulator
Create your own projection by adjusting party support levels
Constituency Finder
Search and explore all constituencies with detailed breakdowns
Historical Data
Past election results and electoral trends over time
Virtual Election
Don't believe the polls? Show us your vote!
About Poliwave
Poliwave takes today's polls and turns them into a seat projection for every constituency, using past results and a swing model. It runs the election thousands of times to show the range of likely outcomes, not just a single number.
Poliwave does not conduct polls. Projections are statistical estimates based on publicly available polling data.