Every election, on one map.

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All live results Open the world simulator → How it works

Poliwave is an election simulator and archive. Change a party's vote share and see the seats, rerun past elections back to 1789, follow live results and polls, or redraw the map. There are games too.

  • 21,324 Elections on Poliwave
  • 205 Jurisdictions with a working simulator
  • 624,060 Constituencies mapped
  • 1789 First election in the archive

Scroll to zoom · drag to pan Grey: projection in preparation

Current projections

All 205 jurisdictions 
Canada (Federal) 65.0% 223of 343 LPC Majority United States 52.4% 228of 435 DEM Majority United Kingdom 42.8% 278of 650 LAB 48 short France 46.6% 269of 577 RN 20 short Germany (Bundestag) 32.5% 205of 630 AfD 111 short Australia 53.3% 80of 150 ALP Majority New Zealand 28.9% 35of 121 LAB 26 short India 45.6% 247of 542 BJP 25 short Japan (Shūgiin) 69.0% 321of 465 LDP Majority Brazil 19.3% 99of 513 PL 158 short South Africa 38.0% 152of 400 ANC 49 short México 55.0% 275of 500 MORENA Majority

Seats are the projected total for the party currently ahead, out of that jurisdiction's full chamber, which differs by system. Hover any bar for the rest of the split. Every one of these jurisdictions can be re-run yourself in the simulator, along with historical elections going back to 1789.

Recent results

All elections 
2026 British Columbia General Election British Columbia · 24 Oct 2026 Conservative Party 2026 Quebec General Election Quebec · 5 Oct 2026 Parti québécois 2026 Brazilian presidential election Brazil · 4 Oct 2026 Liberal Party 2026 Latvian Parliamentary Election Latvia · 3 Oct 2026 United List (Greens/Regions/Liepāja) 2026 Morocco House of Representatives election Morocco · 23 Sept 2026 Parti Authenticite et Modernite Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus 2026 Berlin · 20 Sept 2026 DIE LINKE

Tools

Simulator Run any election and watch the seats move. Elections Forecasts, results and the data behind them. Map maker Draw, paint and share an electoral map. Game Campaign games and map quizzes. Polls Poll averages and the weighting behind them. About How the model works and how accurate it is.

About Poliwave

Poliwave takes today's polls and turns them into a seat projection for every constituency, using past results and a swing model. It runs the election thousands of times to show the range of likely outcomes, not just a single number.

Canada is the most detailed jurisdiction: every federal election since 1867, all ten provinces, down to each riding. In 2025 Poliwave produced the most accurate seat count of any Canadian federal projection. Built and run by one person, free and without advertising.

Why Poliwave Read the Methodology Track Record

Poliwave Pro

  • Monte Carlo forecasts: win probabilities and full seat ranges
  • Dissemination-area and block-group geography, and the poster studio
  • A saved scenario library that syncs, with shareable links
  • Landslide and the District Drawer

Subscribe Landslide

Projections are statistical estimates based on publicly available polling data.