Every election, on one map.

21,307 Elections on Poliwave

All live results Open the simulator → How it works

Change a party's vote share and see the seats. The same simulator runs the next election, past elections, and maps you draw yourself.

Scroll to zoom · drag to pan Grey: projection in preparation

  • 21,307 Elections on Poliwave
  • 205 Jurisdictions with a working simulator
  • 624,043 Constituencies mapped
  • 1789 First election in the archive

205 jurisdictions. One map.

Pick a country, change the vote, and watch the seats move. The archive starts with the first US presidential election in 1789.

Open the world simulator 

Current projections

All 205 jurisdictions 
Canada (Federal) 65.0% 223of 343 Majority Liberal Party of Canada United States 52.4% 228of 435 Majority Democratic Party United Kingdom 42.8% 278of 650 48 short Labour Party France 46.6% 269of 577 20 short National Rally Germany (Bundestag) 32.5% 205of 630 111 short Alternative for Germany Australia 53.3% 80of 150 Majority Australian Labor Party New Zealand 28.9% 35of 121 26 short New Zealand Labour Party India 45.6% 247of 542 25 short Bharatiya Janata Party Japan (Shūgiin) 69.0% 321of 465 Majority Liberal Democratic Party Brazil 19.3% 99of 513 158 short Liberal Party South Africa 38.0% 152of 400 49 short African National Congress México 55.0% 275of 500 Majority National Regeneration Movement

Seats are the projected total for the party currently ahead, out of that jurisdiction's full chamber, which differs by system. Hover any bar for the rest of the split. Every one of these jurisdictions can be re-run yourself in the simulator, along with historical elections going back to 1789.

Tools

Simulator Run any election and watch the seats move. Elections Forecasts, results and the data behind them. Map maker Draw, paint and share an electoral map. Game Campaign games and map quizzes. Polls Poll averages and the weighting behind them. About How the model works and how accurate it is.

About Poliwave

Poliwave takes today's polls and turns them into a seat projection for every constituency, using past results and a swing model. It runs the election thousands of times to show the range of likely outcomes, not just a single number.

Canada is the most detailed jurisdiction: every federal election since 1867, all ten provinces, down to each riding. In 2025 Poliwave produced the most accurate seat count of any Canadian federal projection. Built and run by one person, free and without advertising.

Why Poliwave Read the Methodology Track Record

Poliwave Pro

  • Monte Carlo forecasts: win probabilities and full seat ranges
  • Dissemination-area and block-group geography, and the poster studio
  • A saved scenario library that syncs, with shareable links
  • Landslide and the District Drawer

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Projections are statistical estimates based on publicly available polling data.