Every election, on one map.

Live Alberta Referendum Results 2026 Live: Separation Vote and Map by Riding

20,604 Elections on Poliwave

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Project the next result, run a simulation, redraw the districts, paint your own map, and follow the polls and past results.

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  • 20,604 Elections on Poliwave
  • 204 Jurisdictions with a working simulator
  • 560,519 Constituencies mapped
  • 1789 First election in the archive

Track record

The most accurate projection of the 2025 Canadian federal election.

Poliwave had the smallest aggregate seat gap of any Canadian forecaster, and came within a point of the long-established benchmark on called seats. Built and run by one person, free and without ads.

See the record, election by election 

Where things stand

Current projections All 204 jurisdictions 
Canada (Federal) 49.3% 169of 343 3 short Liberal Party of Canada United States 51.3% 223of 435 Majority Democratic Party United Kingdom 63.2% 411of 650 Majority Labour Party France 31.0% 179of 577 110 short New Popular Front Germany (Bundestag) 26.0% 164of 630 152 short Christian Democratic Union of Germany Australia 62.7% 94of 150 Majority Australian Labor Party New Zealand 39.3% 48of 122 14 short New Zealand National Party India 44.2% 240of 543 32 short Bharatiya Janata Party Japan (Shūgiin) 67.7% 315of 465 Majority Liberal Democratic Party Brazil 19.3% 99of 513 158 short Liberal Party South Africa 39.8% 159of 400 42 short African National Congress México 47.2% 236of 500 15 short National Regeneration Movement

Seats are the projected total for the party currently ahead, out of that jurisdiction's full chamber, which differs by system. Hover any bar for the rest of the split. Every one of these jurisdictions can be re-run yourself in the simulator, along with historical elections going back to 1867.

Simulators, maps, polls and data

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About Poliwave

Poliwave takes today's polls and turns them into a seat projection for every constituency, using past results and a swing model. It runs the election thousands of times to show the range of likely outcomes, not just a single number.

Canada is the most detailed jurisdiction: every federal election since 1867, all ten provinces, down to each riding. In 2025 Poliwave produced the most accurate seat count of any Canadian federal projection. Built and run by one person, free and without advertising.

Why Poliwave Read the Methodology Track Record

Poliwave Pro

The full apparatus

  • Monte Carlo forecasts: win probabilities and full seat ranges
  • Dissemination-area and block-group geography, and the poster studio
  • A saved scenario library that syncs, with shareable links
  • Landslide and the District Drawer

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Projections are statistical estimates based on publicly available polling data.