Track Record

Past Accuracy

Transparent tracking of our election prediction performance

Average Accuracy
90.2%

Across all elections

Elections Tracked
5

Recent elections

Best Performance
98%

2024-11-26 Nova Scotia

Detailed Results

Most recent elections on top

ElectionAccuracyProjected SeatsResults
2024-11-26 Nova Scotia
98
NS PC: 44NS NDP: 8NS Liberals: 2OTH: 1
NS PC: 43NS NDP: 9NS Liberals: 2OTH: 1
2024-10-28 Saskatchewan
92
SK NDP: 32SKP: 29
SKP: 34NDP: 27
2024-10-21 New Brunswick
90
NB Liberals: 26NB PC: 21NB Greens: 2
NB Liberals: 31NB PC: 21NB Greens: 2
2024-10-19 British Columbia
86
BC Conservatives: 46BC NDP: 45BC Greens: 2
BC NDP: 47BC Conservatives: 44BC Greens: 2
2025-02-27 Ontario
85
Ontario PC: 87Ontario Liberals: 19Ontario NDP: 15Ontario Greens: 2OTH: 1
Ontario PC: 80Ontario NDP: 27Ontario Liberals: 14Ontario Greens: 2OTH: 1

Note: Accuracy is calculated based on the percentage of seats correctly predicted. Our methodology focuses on seat projections rather than vote share predictions.