Last updated: Jan 8, 2026 at 6:02 PM

PCPEI
PEI • QCT • CHT

Charlottetown-Hillsborough Park

Progressive Conservative Party of Prince Edward Island projected to win

Margin
+14.5%
Win Probability
69.4%
Voters (2023)
2,681

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

PCPEI PCPEI
69.4%
PEILP PEILP
24.3%
GPPEI GPPEI
4.5%
NDPPEI NDPPEI
1.1%
OTH OTH
0.7%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

PCPEI PCPEI -14.6
47.3% ±31.9
95% CI: 28.8% – 43.6% 2023: 61.9%
PEILP PEILP +19.7
32.8% ±30.0
95% CI: 18.4% – 49.2% 2023: 13.1%
GPPEI GPPEI -4.1
15.4% ±23.1
95% CI: 0.0% – 23.6% 2023: 19.5%
NDPPEI NDPPEI -1.0
3.7% ±12.1
95% CI: 0.0% – 21.0% 2023: 4.7%
OTH OTH +0.0
0.8% ±9.6
95% CI: 0.0% – 30.9% 2023: 0.8%

Uncertainty factor: 4.00× (High uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2023 Election

PCPEI
PCPEI
+42.4%
PCPEI
61.9%
GPPEI
19.5%
PEILP
13.1%
NDPPEI
4.7%

2019 Election

PCPEI
PCPEI
+15.0%
PCPEI
43.7%
GPPEI
28.7%
PEILP
25.7%
NDPPEI
1.9%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 7