Last updated: Jan 8, 2026 at 6:02 PM

PEILP
PEI • QCT • CHT Flipped

Charlottetown-Brighton

Prince Edward Island Liberal Party projected to win

Margin
+8.2%
Win Probability
52.9%
Voters (2023)
2,724

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

PEILP PEILP
52.9%
PCPEI PCPEI
28.5%
GPPEI GPPEI
15.2%
NDPPEI NDPPEI
2.2%
OTH OTH
1.1%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

PEILP PEILP +21.1
39.0% ±31.2
95% CI: 23.2% – 46.2% 2023: 17.9%
PCPEI PCPEI -12.2
30.8% ±29.5
95% CI: 9.8% – 45.6% 2023: 43.0%
GPPEI GPPEI -8.1
23.6% ±27.2
95% CI: 0.0% – 29.9% 2023: 31.7%
NDPPEI NDPPEI -1.9
5.6% ±14.7
95% CI: 13.0% – 27.4% 2023: 7.4%
OTH OTH +1.0
1.0% ±9.6
95% CI: 0.0% – 24.0%

Uncertainty factor: 4.00× (High uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2023 Election

PCPEI
PCPEI
+11.3%
PCPEI
43.0%
GPPEI
31.7%
PEILP
17.9%
NDPPEI
7.4%

2019 Election

GPPEI
GPPEI
+2.4%
GPPEI
40.3%
PEILP
37.9%
PCPEI
17.6%
NDPPEI
4.3%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 6