Last updated: Jan 8, 2026 at 6:02 PM

PEILP
PEI • QCT • CHT Flipped

Charlottetown-Belvedere

Prince Edward Island Liberal Party projected to win

Margin
+5.5%
Win Probability
54.8%
Voters (2023)
2,775

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

PEILP PEILP
54.8%
PCPEI PCPEI
36.6%
GPPEI GPPEI
6.4%
NDPPEI NDPPEI
1.2%
OTH OTH
0.9%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

PEILP PEILP +21.9
42.1% ±31.6
95% CI: 14.5% – 47.7% 2023: 20.2%
PCPEI PCPEI -14.6
36.5% ±30.8
95% CI: 29.0% – 55.6% 2023: 51.1%
GPPEI GPPEI -6.1
17.0% ±24.0
95% CI: 4.2% – 21.8% 2023: 23.0%
NDPPEI NDPPEI -1.3
3.5% ±11.8
95% CI: 0.0% – 19.1% 2023: 4.8%
OTH OTH -0.0
0.9% ±9.6
95% CI: 0.0% – 31.3% 2023: 0.9%

Uncertainty factor: 4.00× (High uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2023 Election

PCPEI
PCPEI
+28.1%
PCPEI
51.1%
GPPEI
23.0%
PEILP
20.2%
NDPPEI
4.8%

2019 Election

GPPEI
GPPEI
+9.0%
GPPEI
40.4%
PCPEI
31.3%
PEILP
26.6%
NDPPEI
1.7%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 5