Last updated: Jan 8, 2026 at 6:02 PM

PCPEI
PEI • QCT • RQCT

Brackley-Hunter River

Progressive Conservative Party of Prince Edward Island projected to win

Margin
+22.6%
Win Probability
80.8%
Voters (2023)
2,790

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

PCPEI PCPEI
80.8%
PEILP PEILP
15.2%
GPPEI GPPEI
2.8%
NDPPEI NDPPEI
0.6%
OTH OTH
0.5%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

PCPEI PCPEI -15.4
52.8% ±31.9
95% CI: 42.0% – 63.9% 2023: 68.2%
PEILP PEILP +18.7
30.2% ±29.4
95% CI: 22.0% – 35.7% 2023: 11.5%
GPPEI GPPEI -3.6
13.7% ±22.0
95% CI: 3.8% – 27.6% 2023: 17.3%
NDPPEI NDPPEI -0.7
2.2% ±9.6
95% CI: 0.0% – 19.6% 2023: 3.0%
OTH OTH +1.0
1.0% ±9.6
95% CI: 0.0% – 4.2%

Uncertainty factor: 4.00× (High uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2023 Election

PCPEI
PCPEI
+50.9%
PCPEI
68.2%
GPPEI
17.3%
PEILP
11.5%
NDPPEI
3.0%

2019 Election

PCPEI
PCPEI
+13.2%
PCPEI
41.7%
PEILP
28.5%
GPPEI
27.9%
NDPPEI
1.8%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 4