Last updated: Jan 8, 2026 at 6:02 PM

PCPEI
PEI • PCT • RPCT

Borden-Kinkora

Progressive Conservative Party of Prince Edward Island projected to win

Margin
+14.2%
Win Probability
61.1%
Voters (2023)
2,858

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

PCPEI PCPEI
61.1%
PEILP PEILP
21.1%
GPPEI GPPEI
15.7%
OTH OTH
1.1%
NDPPEI NDPPEI
1.1%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

PCPEI PCPEI -17.6
42.6% ±31.4
95% CI: 34.0% – 56.2% 2023: 60.1%
PEILP PEILP +28.4
28.4% ±28.6
95% CI: 2.4% – 33.7%
GPPEI GPPEI -9.7
25.1% ±27.5
95% CI: 11.3% – 45.6% 2023: 34.8%
OTH OTH -0.1
2.0% ±9.5
95% CI: 0.0% – 4.6% 2023: 2.1%
NDPPEI NDPPEI -1.0
1.9% ±9.5
95% CI: 0.0% – 14.4% 2023: 2.9%

Uncertainty factor: 3.97× (High uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2023 Election

PCPEI
PCPEI
+25.3%
PCPEI
60.1%
GPPEI
34.8%
NDPPEI
2.9%
OTH
2.1%

2019 Election

PCPEI
PCPEI
+19.8%
PCPEI
52.1%
GPPEI
32.3%
PEILP
12.9%
OTH
1.7%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 3