Last updated: Jan 8, 2026 at 6:02 PM

PCPEI
PEI • PCT • RPCT

Tyne Valley-Sherbrooke

Progressive Conservative Party of Prince Edward Island projected to win

Margin
+8.7%
Win Probability
53.7%
Voters (2023)
2,539

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

PCPEI PCPEI
53.7%
GPPEI GPPEI
28.1%
PEILP PEILP
16.3%
OTH OTH
1.0%
NDPPEI NDPPEI
0.9%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

PCPEI PCPEI -11.6
40.6% ±31.4
95% CI: 21.4% – 45.8% 2023: 52.2%
GPPEI GPPEI -6.0
31.9% ±29.8
95% CI: 28.3% – 42.5% 2023: 38.0%
PEILP PEILP +17.2
25.5% ±27.9
95% CI: 6.2% – 37.9% 2023: 8.3%
OTH OTH +1.1
1.1% ±9.6
95% CI: 0.0% – 15.9%
NDPPEI NDPPEI -0.6
0.9% ±9.6
95% CI: 0.0% – 16.4% 2023: 1.5%

Uncertainty factor: 4.00× (High uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2023 Election

PCPEI
PCPEI
+14.3%
PCPEI
52.2%
GPPEI
38.0%
PEILP
8.3%
NDPPEI
1.5%

2019 Election

GPPEI
GPPEI
+2.4%
GPPEI
35.6%
PCPEI
33.2%
PEILP
28.5%
NDPPEI
2.6%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 27