Last updated: Jan 8, 2026 at 6:02 PM

PEILP
PEI • PCT • RPCT

Tignish-Palmer Road

Prince Edward Island Liberal Party projected to win

Margin
+55.6%
Win Probability
98.8%
Voters (2023)
2,603

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

PEILP PEILP
98.8%
PCPEI PCPEI
0.8%
GPPEI GPPEI
0.2%
NDPPEI NDPPEI
0.1%
OTH OTH
0.1%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

PEILP PEILP +13.2
71.9% ±28.8
95% CI: 45.0% – 72.2% 2023: 58.7%
PCPEI PCPEI -19.7
16.3% ±23.6
95% CI: 0.0% – 25.1% 2023: 36.1%
GPPEI GPPEI +8.2
8.2% ±17.6
95% CI: 0.0% – 29.9%
NDPPEI NDPPEI -2.4
2.9% ±10.6
95% CI: 0.0% – 6.6% 2023: 5.3%
OTH OTH +0.7
0.7% ±9.6
95% CI: 0.0% – 14.4%

Uncertainty factor: 4.00× (High uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2023 Election

PEILP
PEILP
+22.6%
PEILP
58.7%
PCPEI
36.1%
NDPPEI
5.3%

2019 Election

PEILP
PEILP
+20.8%
PEILP
49.3%
PCPEI
28.5%
GPPEI
20.7%
NDPPEI
1.6%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 26