Last updated: Jan 8, 2026 at 6:02 PM

PCPEI
PEI • PCT • SUM

Summerside-Wilmot

Progressive Conservative Party of Prince Edward Island projected to win

Margin
+16.1%
Win Probability
66.9%
Voters (2023)
2,910

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

PCPEI PCPEI
66.9%
GPPEI GPPEI
19.4%
PEILP PEILP
12.2%
NDPPEI NDPPEI
0.8%
OTH OTH
0.7%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

PCPEI PCPEI -11.6
45.2% ±31.3
95% CI: 27.5% – 73.8% 2023: 56.7%
GPPEI GPPEI -4.6
29.1% ±28.6
95% CI: 7.8% – 37.9% 2023: 33.7%
PEILP PEILP +16.6
24.0% ±26.9
95% CI: 0.0% – 31.7% 2023: 7.3%
NDPPEI NDPPEI -0.6
1.0% ±9.4
95% CI: 0.0% – 17.5% 2023: 1.6%
OTH OTH +0.1
0.7% ±9.4
95% CI: 0.0% – 2.9% 2023: 0.7%

Uncertainty factor: 3.93× (High uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2023 Election

PCPEI
PCPEI
+23.0%
PCPEI
56.7%
GPPEI
33.7%
PEILP
7.4%
NDPPEI
1.5%

2019 Election

GPPEI
GPPEI
+6.9%
GPPEI
39.0%
PCPEI
32.1%
PEILP
27.7%
NDPPEI
1.2%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 25