Last updated: Jan 8, 2026 at 6:02 PM

PCPEI
PEI • PCT • SUM

Summerside-South Drive

Progressive Conservative Party of Prince Edward Island projected to win

Margin
+3.8%
Win Probability
49.0%
Voters (2023)
2,584

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

PCPEI PCPEI
49.0%
PEILP PEILP
37.0%
GPPEI GPPEI
11.8%
NDPPEI NDPPEI
1.2%
OTH OTH
1.0%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

PCPEI PCPEI -13.9
39.4% ±31.3
95% CI: 20.5% – 54.0% 2023: 53.3%
PEILP PEILP +20.2
35.6% ±30.6
95% CI: 28.8% – 52.6% 2023: 15.4%
GPPEI GPPEI -6.5
22.1% ±26.6
95% CI: 11.6% – 22.2% 2023: 28.6%
NDPPEI NDPPEI -0.8
1.9% ±9.6
95% CI: 0.0% – 16.2% 2023: 2.7%
OTH OTH +1.0
1.0% ±9.6
95% CI: 0.0% – 6.7%

Uncertainty factor: 4.00× (High uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2023 Election

PCPEI
PCPEI
+24.7%
PCPEI
53.3%
GPPEI
28.6%
PEILP
15.4%
NDPPEI
2.7%

2019 Election

GPPEI
GPPEI
+12.3%
GPPEI
43.9%
PEILP
31.6%
PCPEI
22.3%
NDPPEI
2.2%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 24