Last updated: Jan 8, 2026 at 6:02 PM

PCPEI
PEI • QCT • RQCT

Stratford-Keppoch

Progressive Conservative Party of Prince Edward Island projected to win

Margin
+1.2%
Win Probability
44.7%
Voters (2023)
2,829

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

PCPEI PCPEI
44.7%
PEILP PEILP
41.2%
GPPEI GPPEI
12.1%
OTH OTH
1.0%
NDPPEI NDPPEI
0.9%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

PCPEI PCPEI -13.9
38.4% ±31.0
95% CI: 15.9% – 52.8% 2023: 52.3%
PEILP PEILP +20.6
37.2% ±30.8
95% CI: 7.2% – 35.3% 2023: 16.6%
GPPEI GPPEI -7.0
22.9% ±26.8
95% CI: 10.8% – 34.8% 2023: 29.9%
OTH OTH +1.0
1.0% ±9.6
95% CI: 0.0% – 17.9%
NDPPEI NDPPEI -0.6
0.5% ±9.6
95% CI: 0.0% – 22.7% 2023: 1.1%

Uncertainty factor: 3.99× (High uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2023 Election

PCPEI
PCPEI
+22.3%
PCPEI
52.3%
GPPEI
29.9%
PEILP
16.6%
NDPPEI
1.1%

2019 Election

PCPEI
PCPEI
+13.0%
PCPEI
42.5%
PEILP
29.5%
GPPEI
26.9%
NDPPEI
1.0%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 23