Last updated: Jan 8, 2026 at 6:02 PM

PEILP
PEI • KCT • Null Flipped

Belfast-Murray River

Prince Edward Island Liberal Party projected to win

Margin
+0.0%
Win Probability
48.2%
Voters (2023)
2,574

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

PEILP PEILP
48.2%
PCPEI PCPEI
47.1%
GPPEI GPPEI
2.9%
NDPPEI NDPPEI
1.1%
OTH OTH
0.8%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

PEILP PEILP +21.7
41.9% ±31.6
95% CI: 14.0% – 48.8% 2023: 20.2%
PCPEI PCPEI -16.8
41.9% ±31.6
95% CI: 29.0% – 50.8% 2023: 58.7%
GPPEI GPPEI -4.7
11.7% ±20.5
95% CI: 0.0% – 4.8% 2023: 16.3%
NDPPEI NDPPEI -1.3
3.6% ±11.9
95% CI: 0.0% – 23.8% 2023: 4.8%
OTH OTH +1.0
1.0% ±9.6
95% CI: 0.0% – 24.1%

Uncertainty factor: 4.00× (High uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2023 Election

PCPEI
PCPEI
+38.5%
PCPEI
58.7%
PEILP
20.2%
GPPEI
16.3%
NDPPEI
4.8%

2019 Election

PCPEI
PCPEI
+26.0%
PCPEI
52.5%
GPPEI
26.6%
PEILP
20.9%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 2