Last updated: Jan 8, 2026 at 6:02 PM

PEILP
PEI • PCT • RPCT

O'Leary-Inverness

Prince Edward Island Liberal Party projected to win

Margin
+41.3%
Win Probability
93.8%
Voters (2023)
2,406

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

PEILP PEILP
93.8%
NDPPEI NDPPEI
3.2%
PCPEI PCPEI
2.4%
OTH OTH
0.3%
GPPEI GPPEI
0.3%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

PEILP PEILP +24.1
61.3% ±31.1
95% CI: 47.4% – 63.0% 2023: 37.2%
NDPPEI NDPPEI -9.2
20.0% ±25.6
95% CI: 7.1% – 39.3% 2023: 29.2%
PCPEI PCPEI -13.6
17.1% ±24.1
95% CI: 8.8% – 31.6% 2023: 30.7%
OTH OTH +0.9
0.9% ±9.6
95% CI: 0.0% – 12.3%
GPPEI GPPEI -2.3
0.7% ±9.6
95% CI: 0.0% – 3.0% 2023: 3.0%

Uncertainty factor: 4.00× (High uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2023 Election

PEILP
PEILP
+6.5%
PEILP
37.2%
PCPEI
30.7%
NDPPEI
29.2%
GPPEI
3.0%

2019 Election

PEILP
PEILP
+7.6%
PEILP
40.9%
NDPPEI
33.3%
PCPEI
17.2%
GPPEI
8.6%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 19