Last updated: Jan 8, 2026 at 6:02 PM

PEILP
PEI • QCT • RQCT Flipped

New Haven-Rocky Point

Prince Edward Island Liberal Party projected to win

Margin
+1.5%
Win Probability
38.6%
Voters (2023)
3,408

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

PEILP PEILP
38.6%
GPPEI GPPEI
34.9%
PCPEI PCPEI
25.0%
OTH OTH
0.9%
NDPPEI NDPPEI
0.7%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

PEILP PEILP +20.1
34.9% ±27.8
95% CI: 10.3% – 50.8% 2023: 14.7%
GPPEI GPPEI -9.4
33.3% ±27.5
95% CI: 8.4% – 58.1% 2023: 42.8%
PCPEI PCPEI -10.1
29.5% ±26.6
95% CI: 24.6% – 40.9% 2023: 39.6%
OTH OTH +0.0
1.5% ±8.8
95% CI: 0.0% – 11.8% 2023: 1.4%
NDPPEI NDPPEI -0.7
0.8% ±8.8
95% CI: 0.0% – 2.9% 2023: 1.4%

Uncertainty factor: 3.63× (High uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2023 Election

GPPEI
GPPEI
+3.1%
GPPEI
42.8%
PCPEI
39.6%
PEILP
14.7%
NDPPEI
1.4%
OTH
1.4%

2019 Election

GPPEI
GPPEI
+23.1%
GPPEI
53.8%
PCPEI
30.7%
PEILP
14.8%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 18