Last updated: Jan 8, 2026 at 6:02 PM

PCPEI
PEI • KCT • Null

Morell-Donagh

Progressive Conservative Party of Prince Edward Island projected to win

Margin
+26.9%
Win Probability
85.6%
Voters (2023)
2,689

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

PCPEI PCPEI
85.6%
PEILP PEILP
11.6%
GPPEI GPPEI
1.6%
NDPPEI NDPPEI
0.7%
OTH OTH
0.5%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

PCPEI PCPEI -14.8
55.8% ±31.8
95% CI: 46.5% – 98.8% 2023: 70.6%
PEILP PEILP +18.4
28.9% ±29.0
95% CI: 0.8% – 23.9% 2023: 10.5%
GPPEI GPPEI -2.9
10.1% ±19.3
95% CI: 0.0% – 20.1% 2023: 13.0%
NDPPEI NDPPEI -0.8
3.5% ±11.8
95% CI: 0.0% – 37.1% 2023: 4.3%
OTH OTH +0.1
1.8% ±9.6
95% CI: 0.0% – 11.2% 2023: 1.6%

Uncertainty factor: 4.00× (High uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2023 Election

PCPEI
PCPEI
+57.6%
PCPEI
70.6%
GPPEI
13.0%
PEILP
10.5%
NDPPEI
4.3%
OTH
1.6%

2019 Election

PCPEI
PCPEI
+34.7%
PCPEI
57.6%
GPPEI
22.9%
PEILP
18.3%
NDPPEI
1.2%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 17