Last updated: Jan 8, 2026 at 6:02 PM

GPPEI
PEI • QCT • RQCT Flipped

Mermaid-Stratford

Green Party of Prince Edward Island projected to win

Margin
+1.5%
Win Probability
41.4%
Voters (2023)
2,749

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

GPPEI GPPEI
41.4%
PCPEI PCPEI
36.9%
PEILP PEILP
19.5%
OTH OTH
1.1%
NDPPEI NDPPEI
1.1%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

GPPEI GPPEI -7.6
36.3% ±30.8
95% CI: 32.7% – 41.8% 2023: 43.9%
PCPEI PCPEI -10.5
34.8% ±30.5
95% CI: 9.7% – 37.3% 2023: 45.3%
PEILP PEILP +17.7
26.9% ±28.4
95% CI: 8.8% – 34.7% 2023: 9.2%
OTH OTH +1.1
1.1% ±9.6
95% CI: 0.0% – 12.9%
NDPPEI NDPPEI -0.6
0.9% ±9.6
95% CI: 0.0% – 15.9% 2023: 1.6%

Uncertainty factor: 4.00× (High uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2023 Election

PCPEI
PCPEI
+1.4%
PCPEI
45.3%
GPPEI
43.9%
PEILP
9.2%
NDPPEI
1.6%

2019 Election

GPPEI
GPPEI
+7.2%
GPPEI
38.1%
PCPEI
30.9%
PEILP
29.8%
NDPPEI
1.3%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 15