Last updated: Jan 8, 2026 at 6:02 PM

PCPEI
PEI • PCT • RPCT

Kensington-Malpeque

Progressive Conservative Party of Prince Edward Island projected to win

Margin
+42.3%
Win Probability
96.0%
Voters (2023)
2,993

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

PCPEI PCPEI
96.0%
PEILP PEILP
2.7%
GPPEI GPPEI
1.0%
NDPPEI NDPPEI
0.2%
OTH OTH
0.2%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

PCPEI PCPEI -13.4
63.3% ±29.9
95% CI: 29.8% – 69.8% 2023: 76.7%
PEILP PEILP +15.4
21.0% ±25.3
95% CI: 0.0% – 25.5% 2023: 5.7%
GPPEI GPPEI -2.6
12.9% ±20.8
95% CI: 0.4% – 21.9% 2023: 15.5%
NDPPEI NDPPEI -0.6
1.7% ±9.3
95% CI: 0.0% – 17.4% 2023: 2.2%
OTH OTH +1.1
1.1% ±9.3
95% CI: 0.0% – 25.0%

Uncertainty factor: 3.88× (High uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2023 Election

PCPEI
PCPEI
+61.2%
PCPEI
76.6%
GPPEI
15.5%
PEILP
5.6%
NDPPEI
2.2%

2019 Election

PCPEI
PCPEI
+37.2%
PCPEI
62.1%
GPPEI
24.9%
PEILP
12.0%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 14