Last updated: Jan 8, 2026 at 6:02 PM

PCPEI
PEI • KCT • Null

Georgetown-Pownal

Progressive Conservative Party of Prince Edward Island projected to win

Margin
+23.2%
Win Probability
82.2%
Voters (2023)
2,810

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

PCPEI PCPEI
82.2%
PEILP PEILP
15.1%
GPPEI GPPEI
1.6%
OTH OTH
0.7%
NDPPEI NDPPEI
0.5%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

PCPEI PCPEI -15.4
54.3% ±31.9
95% CI: 35.6% – 54.1% 2023: 69.8%
PEILP PEILP +19.0
31.1% ±29.6
95% CI: 9.4% – 38.6% 2023: 12.1%
GPPEI GPPEI -3.0
9.5% ±18.8
95% CI: 0.0% – 21.6% 2023: 12.5%
OTH OTH +0.1
2.9% ±10.8
95% CI: 10.9% – 25.9% 2023: 2.8%
NDPPEI NDPPEI -0.7
2.1% ±9.6
95% CI: 0.0% – 12.3% 2023: 2.8%

Uncertainty factor: 4.00× (High uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2023 Election

PCPEI
PCPEI
+57.3%
PCPEI
69.8%
GPPEI
12.5%
PEILP
12.1%
NDPPEI
2.8%
OTH
2.8%

2019 Election

PCPEI
PCPEI
+20.5%
PCPEI
48.6%
GPPEI
28.2%
PEILP
21.6%
NDPPEI
1.6%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 13