Last updated: Jan 8, 2026 at 6:02 PM

PEILP
PEI • PCT • RPCT Flipped

Evangeline-Miscouche

Prince Edward Island Liberal Party projected to win

Margin
+3.5%
Win Probability
55.0%
Voters (2023)
2,243

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

PEILP PEILP
55.0%
PCPEI PCPEI
42.7%
GPPEI GPPEI
1.3%
NDPPEI NDPPEI
0.5%
OTH OTH
0.5%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

PEILP PEILP +22.4
46.6% ±31.9
95% CI: 16.4% – 71.6% 2023: 24.2%
PCPEI PCPEI -18.6
43.1% ±31.7
95% CI: 28.4% – 52.6% 2023: 61.7%
GPPEI GPPEI -4.0
8.1% ±17.4
95% CI: 0.0% – 31.1% 2023: 12.1%
NDPPEI NDPPEI -0.8
1.2% ±9.6
95% CI: 0.0% – 6.3% 2023: 2.0%
OTH OTH +0.9
0.9% ±9.6
95% CI: 0.0% – 25.6%

Uncertainty factor: 4.00× (High uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2023 Election

PCPEI
PCPEI
+37.5%
PCPEI
61.7%
PEILP
24.2%
GPPEI
12.1%
NDPPEI
2.0%

2019 Election

PEILP
PEILP
+13.7%
PEILP
44.6%
GPPEI
30.8%
PCPEI
23.3%
NDPPEI
1.3%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 12