Last updated: Jan 8, 2026 at 6:02 PM

PEILP
PEI • QCT • RQCT Flipped

Cornwall-Meadowbank

Prince Edward Island Liberal Party projected to win

Margin
+0.9%
Win Probability
48.1%
Voters (2023)
3,196

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

PEILP PEILP
48.1%
PCPEI PCPEI
44.5%
GPPEI GPPEI
6.0%
OTH OTH
0.7%
NDPPEI NDPPEI
0.7%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

PEILP PEILP +21.3
40.4% ±29.5
95% CI: 21.3% – 42.4% 2023: 19.1%
PCPEI PCPEI -15.3
39.5% ±29.4
95% CI: 22.9% – 52.8% 2023: 54.8%
GPPEI GPPEI -6.2
18.0% ±23.1
95% CI: 7.8% – 24.3% 2023: 24.3%
NDPPEI NDPPEI -0.7
1.1% ±9.0
95% CI: 0.0% – 17.6% 2023: 1.9%
OTH OTH +1.0
1.0% ±9.0
95% CI: 0.0% – 22.1%

Uncertainty factor: 3.75× (High uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2023 Election

PCPEI
PCPEI
+30.5%
PCPEI
54.8%
GPPEI
24.2%
PEILP
19.1%
NDPPEI
1.9%

2019 Election

PEILP
PEILP
+14.8%
PEILP
47.9%
GPPEI
33.1%
PCPEI
17.6%
NDPPEI
1.4%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 11