Last updated: Jan 8, 2026 at 6:02 PM

PCPEI
PEI • QCT • CHT

Charlottetown-Winsloe

Progressive Conservative Party of Prince Edward Island projected to win

Margin
+6.1%
Win Probability
58.4%
Voters (2023)
3,032

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

PCPEI PCPEI
58.4%
PEILP PEILP
37.4%
GPPEI GPPEI
3.0%
NDPPEI NDPPEI
0.6%
OTH OTH
0.5%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

PCPEI PCPEI -16.5
44.9% ±30.7
95% CI: 30.2% – 58.0% 2023: 61.4%
PEILP PEILP +21.0
38.8% ±30.1
95% CI: 25.7% – 60.6% 2023: 17.8%
GPPEI GPPEI -4.7
13.6% ±21.1
95% CI: 0.0% – 22.1% 2023: 18.2%
NDPPEI NDPPEI -0.8
1.8% ±9.3
95% CI: 0.0% – 0.0% 2023: 2.6%
OTH OTH +1.0
1.0% ±9.3
95% CI: 0.0% – 12.5%

Uncertainty factor: 3.85× (High uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2023 Election

PCPEI
PCPEI
+43.1%
PCPEI
61.4%
GPPEI
18.2%
PEILP
17.8%
NDPPEI
2.6%

2019 Election

PEILP
PEILP
+10.7%
PEILP
42.0%
GPPEI
31.2%
PCPEI
25.6%
NDPPEI
1.2%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 10