Last updated: Feb 16, 2026 at 4:14 PM

CPC
AB • AB • SRA

Red Deer

Conservative Party of Canada projected to win

Margin
+41.1%
Win Probability
100.0%
Voters (2025)
61,828

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

CPC CPC
100.0%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

CPC CPC -6.5
65.1% ±9.4
95% CI: 53.0% – 75.8% 2025: 71.5%
LPC LPC +2.1
24.0% ±8.5
95% CI: 18.6% – 23.6% 2025: 21.9%
NDP NDP +2.0
5.8% ±4.6
95% CI: 4.0% – 13.8% 2025: 3.8%
GPC GPC +1.6
2.6% ±3.2
95% CI: 0.0% – 12.8% 2025: 1.0%
PPC PPC +0.3
1.6% ±3.0
95% CI: 0.0% – 3.7% 2025: 1.3%
OTH OTH +0.5
0.8% ±3.0
95% CI: 0.0% – 2.3% 2025: 0.3%

Uncertainty factor: 0.98× (Low uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2025 Election

CPC
CPC
+49.6%
CPC
71.6%
LPC
21.9%
NDP
3.8%
PPC
1.3%

2021 Election

CPC
CPC
+42.7%
CPC
60.3%
NDP
17.5%
PPC
11.2%
LPC
8.3%
OTH
2.7%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 48034