Last updated: Feb 16, 2026 at 4:14 PM

CPC
AB • AB • NRA

Peace River-Westlock

Conservative Party of Canada projected to win

Margin
+54.5%
Win Probability
100.0%
Voters (2025)
53,369

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

CPC CPC
100.0%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

CPC CPC -10.0
67.1% ±9.7
95% CI: 52.0% – 79.0% 2025: 77.1%
LPC LPC +0.8
12.6% ±6.9
95% CI: 3.8% – 16.0% 2025: 11.8%
OTH OTH +2.9
8.6% ±5.8
95% CI: 4.9% – 13.4% 2025: 5.7%
NDP NDP +2.2
7.6% ±5.5
95% CI: 7.2% – 11.6% 2025: 5.5%
PPC PPC +2.2
2.2% ±3.1
95% CI: 0.0% – 10.6%
GPC GPC +1.9
1.9% ±3.1
95% CI: 0.3% – 14.3%

Uncertainty factor: 1.05× (Moderate uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2025 Election

CPC
CPC
+65.3%
CPC
77.1%
LPC
11.8%
OTH
5.7%
NDP
5.5%

2021 Election

CPC
CPC
+49.5%
CPC
62.6%
NDP
13.2%
PPC
12.5%
LPC
5.5%
OTH
5.4%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 48032