Last updated: Feb 16, 2026 at 4:14 PM

CPC
AB • AB • SRA

Foothills

Conservative Party of Canada projected to win

Margin
+48.6%
Win Probability
100.0%
Voters (2025)
71,888

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

CPC CPC
100.0%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

CPC CPC -6.8
69.5% ±8.7
95% CI: 55.4% – 72.7% 2025: 76.3%
LPC LPC +1.9
20.9% ±7.7
95% CI: 14.9% – 23.0% 2025: 19.1%
NDP NDP +1.6
4.3% ±3.8
95% CI: 1.8% – 11.8% 2025: 2.7%
GPC GPC +1.4
2.3% ±2.8
95% CI: 0.0% – 11.1% 2025: 0.8%
PPC PPC +0.5
1.6% ±2.8
95% CI: 0.0% – 11.0% 2025: 1.1%
OTH OTH +1.4
1.4% ±2.8
95% CI: 0.0% – 15.2%

Uncertainty factor: 0.91× (Low uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2025 Election

CPC
CPC
+57.3%
CPC
76.3%
LPC
19.1%
NDP
2.7%
PPC
1.1%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 48024