Last updated: Feb 16, 2026 at 4:14 PM

CPC
AB • AB • SRA

Battle River-Crowfoot

Conservative Party of Canada projected to win

Margin
+63.0%
Win Probability
100.0%
Voters (2025)
64,807

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

CPC CPC
100.0%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

CPC CPC -6.7
76.2% ±8.3
95% CI: 59.9% – 74.6% 2025: 82.8%
LPC LPC +1.5
13.2% ±6.6
95% CI: 5.5% – 11.0% 2025: 11.7%
NDP NDP +1.8
5.0% ±4.2
95% CI: 4.4% – 14.0% 2025: 3.2%
GPC GPC +1.4
2.1% ±2.9
95% CI: 3.3% – 10.9% 2025: 0.7%
OTH OTH +1.8
1.8% ±2.9
95% CI: 0.0% – 6.3%
PPC PPC +0.2
1.8% ±2.9
95% CI: 0.0% – 4.3% 2025: 1.6%

Uncertainty factor: 0.95× (Low uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2025 Election

CPC
CPC
+71.2%
CPC
82.8%
LPC
11.7%
NDP
3.2%
PPC
1.6%

2021 Election

CPC
CPC
+61.7%
CPC
71.4%
NDP
9.7%
PPC
9.3%
OTH
4.4%
LPC
4.3%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 48002