Last updated: Jan 13, 2026 at 6:24 PM

BQ
QC • QC • SQMR Flipped

Terrebonne

Bloc Québécois projected to win

Margin
+15.5%
Win Probability
98.5%
Voters (2025)
60,278

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

BQ BQ
98.5%
LPC LPC
1.6%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

BQ BQ +6.9
45.7% ±9.9
95% CI: 38.7% – 55.7% 2025: 38.7%
LPC LPC -8.6
30.2% ±9.2
95% CI: 19.4% – 36.8% 2025: 38.7%
CPC CPC -4.2
14.0% ±6.9
95% CI: 5.1% – 16.3% 2025: 18.2%
NDP NDP +3.6
6.2% ±4.8
95% CI: 1.9% – 13.7% 2025: 2.6%
GPC GPC +1.1
2.2% ±3.0
95% CI: 0.0% – 9.5% 2025: 1.1%
OTH OTH +1.1
1.1% ±3.0
95% CI: 0.0% – 9.4%
PPC PPC -0.0
0.7% ±3.0
95% CI: 0.0% – 5.1% 2025: 0.7%

Uncertainty factor: 0.99× (Low uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2025 Election

LPC
LPC
+0.0%
LPC
38.7%
BQ
38.7%
CPC
18.2%
NDP
2.6%
GPC
1.0%

2021 Election

BQ
BQ
+12.1%
BQ
41.4%
LPC
29.3%
CPC
10.5%
OTH
8.0%
NDP
6.7%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 24073