Last updated: Feb 16, 2026 at 4:14 PM

LPC
QC • QC • SQMR

Brome-Missisquoi

Liberal Party of Canada projected to win

Margin
+10.7%
Win Probability
94.1%
Voters (2025)
71,952

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

LPC LPC
94.1%
BQ BQ
5.9%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

LPC LPC -4.8
43.4% ±9.4
95% CI: 34.2% – 50.0% 2025: 48.3%
BQ BQ +4.7
32.7% ±8.9
95% CI: 19.2% – 33.3% 2025: 28.1%
CPC CPC -2.8
16.3% ±7.0
95% CI: 8.5% – 18.3% 2025: 19.1%
NDP NDP +2.0
4.2% ±3.8
95% CI: 0.0% – 10.4% 2025: 2.2%
GPC GPC +0.3
1.9% ±2.8
95% CI: 0.0% – 14.1% 2025: 1.6%
OTH OTH +1.2
1.2% ±2.8
95% CI: 0.0% – 4.1%

Uncertainty factor: 0.91× (Low uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2025 Election

LPC
LPC
+20.2%
LPC
48.3%
BQ
28.0%
CPC
19.1%
NDP
2.2%
GPC
1.6%

2021 Election

LPC
LPC
+0.3%
LPC
35.0%
BQ
34.6%
CPC
16.2%
NDP
6.2%
PPC
3.2%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 24014