Last updated: Feb 16, 2026 at 4:14 PM

CPC
QC • QC • ECQ

Beauce

Conservative Party of Canada projected to win

Margin
+40.3%
Win Probability
100.0%
Voters (2025)
62,982

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

CPC CPC
100.0%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

CPC CPC -1.4
58.3% ±9.7
95% CI: 49.3% – 66.0% 2025: 59.7%
BQ BQ +4.4
18.0% ±7.6
95% CI: 10.7% – 22.9% 2025: 13.7%
LPC LPC -1.2
18.0% ±7.6
95% CI: 11.8% – 15.4% 2025: 19.1%
NDP NDP +1.2
3.0% ±3.3
95% CI: 0.0% – 8.2% 2025: 1.8%
GPC GPC +1.1
1.1% ±3.0
95% CI: 0.0% – 12.3%
OTH OTH +0.9
0.9% ±3.0
95% CI: 0.0% – 4.4%
PPC PPC -5.0
0.8% ±3.0
95% CI: 0.0% – 7.4% 2025: 5.8%

Uncertainty factor: 0.97× (Low uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2025 Election

CPC
CPC
+40.6%
CPC
59.7%
LPC
19.1%
BQ
13.6%
PPC
5.8%
NDP
1.7%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 24006