Last updated: Jan 13, 2026 at 6:24 PM

LPC
NB • ATL • RNB

Acadie-Bathurst

Liberal Party of Canada projected to win

Margin
+36.8%
Win Probability
100.0%
Voters (2021)
48,248

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

LPC LPC
100.0%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

LPC LPC -7.8
59.7% ±10.5
95% CI: 42.6% – 67.5% 2021: 67.5%
CPC CPC -3.1
22.9% ±9.0
95% CI: 14.5% – 26.4% 2021: 26.0%
NDP NDP +7.2
11.6% ±6.9
95% CI: 6.3% – 19.6% 2021: 4.4%
GPC GPC +3.0
3.0% ±3.7
95% CI: 0.0% – 5.6%
PPC PPC -0.5
1.7% ±3.2
95% CI: 0.0% – 6.1% 2021: 2.2%
OTH OTH +1.2
1.2% ±3.2
95% CI: 0.0% – 6.3%

Uncertainty factor: 1.11× (Moderate uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2025 Election

LPC
LPC
+41.5%
LPC
67.5%
CPC
26.0%
NDP
4.4%
PPC
2.2%

2021 Election

LPC
LPC
+51.4%
LPC
65.1%
CPC
13.7%
NDP
11.2%
PPC
5.9%
GPC
2.8%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 13001