Last updated: Jan 13, 2026 at 6:24 PM

LPC
NS • ATL • RNS

Sydney-Glace Bay

Liberal Party of Canada projected to win

Margin
+14.3%
Win Probability
96.6%
Voters (2021)
47,166

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

LPC LPC
96.6%
CPC CPC
3.4%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

LPC LPC -5.5
49.1% ±10.8
95% CI: 39.9% – 61.0% 2021: 54.6%
CPC CPC -3.3
34.9% ±10.3
95% CI: 30.9% – 34.5% 2021: 38.1%
NDP NDP +6.1
9.9% ±6.4
95% CI: 2.2% – 16.5% 2021: 3.8%
OTH OTH +0.7
2.9% ±3.6
95% CI: 0.0% – 8.6% 2021: 2.2%
GPC GPC +1.9
1.9% ±3.2
95% CI: 0.0% – 8.7%
PPC PPC +0.1
1.3% ±3.2
95% CI: 0.0% – 8.8% 2021: 1.3%

Uncertainty factor: 1.12× (Moderate uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2025 Election

LPC
LPC
+16.5%
LPC
54.6%
CPC
38.1%
NDP
3.8%
OTH
2.2%
PPC
1.2%

2021 Election

LPC
LPC
+7.5%
LPC
41.7%
CPC
34.2%
NDP
20.0%
PPC
3.3%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 12011