Last updated: Jan 13, 2026 at 6:24 PM

LPC
NS • ATL • HRM

Halifax West

Liberal Party of Canada projected to win

Margin
+34.5%
Win Probability
100.0%
Voters (2021)
55,184

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

LPC LPC
100.0%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

LPC LPC -6.8
58.8% ±10.1
95% CI: 53.3% – 62.6% 2021: 65.6%
CPC CPC -2.9
24.3% ±8.8
95% CI: 13.3% – 28.2% 2021: 27.2%
NDP NDP +7.3
12.9% ±6.9
95% CI: 7.7% – 19.5% 2021: 5.6%
GPC GPC +1.6
2.5% ±3.2
95% CI: 0.0% – 10.2% 2021: 0.9%
PPC PPC +0.3
1.0% ±3.1
95% CI: 0.0% – 5.6% 2021: 0.7%
OTH OTH +0.6
0.6% ±3.1
95% CI: 0.0% – 0.8%

Uncertainty factor: 1.03× (Moderate uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2025 Election

LPC
LPC
+38.4%
LPC
65.6%
CPC
27.2%
NDP
5.6%

2021 Election

LPC
LPC
+21.5%
LPC
47.6%
NDP
26.0%
CPC
21.5%
GPC
2.5%
PPC
2.3%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 12007