Last updated: Jan 13, 2026 at 6:24 PM

LPC
NS • ATL • HRM

Halifax

Liberal Party of Canada projected to win

Margin
+23.0%
Win Probability
99.9%
Voters (2021)
52,160

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

LPC LPC
99.9%
NDP NDP
0.1%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

LPC LPC -11.8
51.3% ±10.4
95% CI: 43.4% – 54.3% 2021: 63.0%
NDP NDP +11.7
28.3% ±9.4
95% CI: 20.3% – 40.3% 2021: 16.6%
CPC CPC -3.8
15.2% ±7.5
95% CI: 3.9% – 16.7% 2021: 19.1%
GPC GPC +2.7
3.5% ±3.8
95% CI: 0.0% – 12.3% 2021: 0.8%
PPC PPC +0.7
1.2% ±3.1
95% CI: 0.0% – 4.3% 2021: 0.5%
OTH OTH +0.5
0.5% ±3.1
95% CI: 0.0% – 0.5%

Uncertainty factor: 1.06× (Moderate uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2025 Election

LPC
LPC
+44.0%
LPC
63.0%
CPC
19.1%
NDP
16.6%

2021 Election

LPC
LPC
+1.9%
LPC
42.2%
NDP
40.4%
CPC
12.7%
GPC
2.2%
PPC
2.1%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 12006