Last updated: Feb 16, 2026 at 4:14 PM

LPC
NS • ATL • HRM

Dartmouth-Cole Harbour

Liberal Party of Canada projected to win

Margin
+50.9%
Win Probability
100.0%
Voters (2025)
59,634

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

LPC LPC
100.0%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

LPC LPC +0.9
68.6% ±9.3
95% CI: 54.7% – 72.8% 2025: 67.7%
CPC CPC -5.0
17.7% ±7.6
95% CI: 12.3% – 19.6% 2025: 22.7%
NDP NDP +4.9
11.9% ±6.5
95% CI: 7.2% – 16.8% 2025: 7.0%
GPC GPC +0.4
1.5% ±3.0
95% CI: 0.0% – 13.3% 2025: 1.1%

Uncertainty factor: 0.99× (Low uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2025 Election

LPC
LPC
+45.0%
LPC
67.7%
CPC
22.7%
NDP
7.0%
PPC
1.3%
GPC
1.1%

2021 Election

LPC
LPC
+18.5%
LPC
51.4%
NDP
32.9%
PPC
9.7%
CPC
3.0%
GPC
2.9%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 12005