Last updated: Jan 13, 2026 at 6:24 PM

LPC
NS • ATL • RNS

Cape Breton-Canso-Antigonish

Liberal Party of Canada projected to win

Margin
+6.6%
Win Probability
80.2%
Voters (2021)
48,278

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

LPC LPC
80.2%
CPC CPC
19.8%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

LPC LPC -5.6
46.0% ±10.7
95% CI: 36.2% – 47.8% 2021: 51.6%
CPC CPC -3.9
39.4% ±10.5
95% CI: 27.3% – 42.2% 2021: 43.2%
NDP NDP +6.2
10.2% ±6.5
95% CI: 0.0% – 18.4% 2021: 4.0%
GPC GPC +2.4
2.4% ±3.3
95% CI: 0.0% – 18.4%
PPC PPC +0.5
1.2% ±3.2
95% CI: 0.0% – 3.1% 2021: 0.7%
OTH OTH +0.3
0.8% ±3.2
95% CI: 0.0% – 7.0% 2021: 0.5%

Uncertainty factor: 1.11× (Moderate uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2025 Election

LPC
LPC
+8.4%
LPC
51.6%
CPC
43.2%
NDP
4.0%

2021 Election

LPC
LPC
+10.7%
LPC
45.7%
CPC
35.0%
NDP
14.6%
PPC
3.9%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 12002