Last updated: Jan 13, 2026 at 6:24 PM

LPC
NS • ATL • RNS Flipped

Acadie-Annapolis

Liberal Party of Canada projected to win

Margin
+1.9%
Win Probability
59.6%
Voters (2021)
48,298

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

LPC LPC
59.6%
CPC CPC
40.4%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

LPC LPC -2.5
44.1% ±10.6
95% CI: 36.7% – 47.6% 2021: 46.6%
CPC CPC -5.5
42.2% ±10.6
95% CI: 38.1% – 47.8% 2021: 47.7%
NDP NDP +5.5
9.2% ±6.2
95% CI: 5.2% – 12.8% 2021: 3.7%
GPC GPC +1.1
2.3% ±3.2
95% CI: 1.1% – 7.5% 2021: 1.2%
PPC PPC +0.4
1.3% ±3.2
95% CI: 0.0% – 6.8% 2021: 0.9%
OTH OTH +1.0
1.0% ±3.2
95% CI: 0.0% – 2.1%

Uncertainty factor: 1.11× (Moderate uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2025 Election

CPC
CPC
+1.1%
CPC
47.7%
LPC
46.6%
NDP
3.7%
GPC
1.2%

2021 Election

CPC
CPC
+20.7%
CPC
51.4%
LPC
30.7%
NDP
12.7%
PPC
5.3%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 12001