Last updated: Jan 13, 2026 at 6:24 PM

LPC
PEI • ATL • PEI

Malpeque

Liberal Party of Canada projected to win

Margin
+18.8%
Win Probability
97.6%
Voters (2021)
26,883

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

LPC LPC
97.6%
CPC CPC
2.4%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

LPC LPC -4.7
52.9% ±13.2
95% CI: 38.7% – 49.0% 2021: 57.6%
CPC CPC -2.6
34.0% ±12.5
95% CI: 25.4% – 39.6% 2021: 36.6%
NDP NDP +5.2
6.6% ±6.5
95% CI: 4.6% – 14.3% 2021: 1.4%
GPC GPC +0.6
4.5% ±5.5
95% CI: 1.0% – 14.3% 2021: 3.9%
OTH OTH +1.1
1.1% ±4.0
95% CI: 0.0% – 6.2%
PPC PPC +0.4
0.9% ±4.0
95% CI: 0.0% – 12.9% 2021: 0.5%

Uncertainty factor: 1.48× (Moderate uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2025 Election

LPC
LPC
+21.0%
LPC
57.6%
CPC
36.6%
GPC
3.9%
NDP
1.4%

2021 Election

LPC
LPC
+8.7%
LPC
41.9%
CPC
33.2%
GPC
14.0%
NDP
8.1%
PPC
2.8%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 11004