Last updated: Jan 13, 2026 at 6:24 PM

LPC
PEI • ATL • PEI

Charlottetown

Liberal Party of Canada projected to win

Margin
+32.0%
Win Probability
99.9%
Voters (2021)
21,089

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

LPC LPC
99.9%
CPC CPC
0.1%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

LPC LPC -6.6
58.2% ±14.3
95% CI: 48.3% – 69.0% 2021: 64.8%
CPC CPC -3.0
26.2% ±12.8
95% CI: 10.3% – 33.2% 2021: 29.1%
NDP NDP +6.7
11.0% ±9.1
95% CI: 3.3% – 12.2% 2021: 4.3%
GPC GPC +1.4
2.6% ±4.7
95% CI: 0.0% – 9.0% 2021: 1.2%
OTH OTH +1.1
1.1% ±4.4
95% CI: 0.0% – 10.0%
PPC PPC +0.3
1.0% ±4.4
95% CI: 0.0% – 7.6% 2021: 0.6%

Uncertainty factor: 1.67× (High uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2025 Election

LPC
LPC
+35.6%
LPC
64.8%
CPC
29.1%
NDP
4.3%
GPC
1.2%

2021 Election

LPC
LPC
+15.6%
LPC
46.7%
CPC
31.1%
NDP
10.7%
GPC
9.6%
PPC
1.9%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 11002