Last updated: Jan 13, 2026 at 6:24 PM

LPC
NL • ATL • STJ

St. John's East

Liberal Party of Canada projected to win

Margin
+30.9%
Win Probability
100.0%
Voters (2021)
46,051

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

LPC LPC
100.0%
CPC CPC
0.0%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

LPC LPC -9.4
52.8% ±10.8
95% CI: 43.6% – 55.2% 2021: 62.3%
CPC CPC -4.0
21.9% ±9.0
95% CI: 10.8% – 21.5% 2021: 25.9%
NDP NDP +9.8
21.0% ±8.8
95% CI: 12.8% – 29.2% 2021: 11.2%
GPC GPC +2.2
2.6% ±3.5
95% CI: 0.0% – 11.0% 2021: 0.3%
PPC PPC +1.2
1.2% ±3.3
95% CI: 0.0% – 3.2%

Uncertainty factor: 1.13× (Moderate uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2025 Election

LPC
LPC
+36.4%
LPC
62.3%
CPC
25.9%
NDP
11.2%

2021 Election

LPC
LPC
+10.1%
LPC
45.1%
NDP
34.9%
CPC
18.1%
PPC
1.9%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 10006