Last updated: Jan 13, 2026 at 6:24 PM

LPC
NL • ATL • RNL

Labrador

Liberal Party of Canada projected to win

Margin
+7.7%
Win Probability
71.1%
Voters (2021)
11,284

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

LPC LPC
71.1%
CPC CPC
28.4%
NDP NDP
0.5%
PPC PPC
0.0%
OTH OTH
0.0%
GPC GPC
0.0%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

LPC LPC -7.2
44.3% ±18.9
95% CI: 31.9% – 43.6% 2021: 51.5%
CPC CPC -5.1
36.6% ±18.3
95% CI: 20.5% – 38.7% 2021: 41.7%
NDP NDP +7.5
14.3% ±13.3
95% CI: 0.9% – 25.4% 2021: 6.8%
GPC GPC +2.0
2.0% ±5.7
95% CI: 0.0% – 8.5%
PPC PPC +1.6
1.6% ±5.7
95% CI: 0.0% – 8.4%
OTH OTH +1.1
1.1% ±5.7
95% CI: 0.0% – 9.7%

Uncertainty factor: 2.29× (High uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2025 Election

LPC
LPC
+9.8%
LPC
51.5%
CPC
41.7%
NDP
6.8%

2021 Election

LPC
LPC
+12.4%
LPC
42.8%
CPC
30.3%
NDP
23.8%
PPC
3.1%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 10004