About
A small group of hobbyists and engineers trying to make elections easier to understand for regular people. The methodology is documented on the site rather than hidden, so you can see how the projections are actually made.
Most forecasters publish a number and keep the model to themselves. Poliwave works the other way around: the simulator on the site is the same model behind the projections, so you can look at how it works and run your own scenarios.
Poliwave started in July 2025, and the first interactive Canadian seat simulator went live that August.
The model is checked against past elections, and the accuracy page shows the track record so far.
The methodology, the formulas, swing rules, and data sources are written up on the site, and you can share any scenario you build with a link.
Free and runs in the browser. You don't need an account to use it; signing up is optional, just for voting in the polls.
Founder & Lead Developer
18-year-old student in Ottawa. Founded Poliwave and builds and runs nearly all of it: the projection model, the polling aggregation, the interactive simulator, the election archive, and the SvelteKit site. Started with Canadian federal and provincial coverage back to 1867, and keeps adding countries.
Election ModelingPolling AnalysisFull Stack DevelopmentData Engineering
Programmer
With 5+ years of experience in software development, Minsoo keeps Poliwave's architecture and infrastructure carefully maintained.
System ArchitectureFull Stack DevelopmentInfrastructure
Programmer
With 1 year of experience in software development, Caules extends Poliwave's functionality with experimental features such as user polls, signups, and more
Full Stack DevelopmentInfrastructure
Communications & Design
Carson handles communications for Poliwave and designed the logo and brand visuals.
CommunicationsLogo & Brand Design