Last updated: Feb 16, 2026 at 4:14 PM

BQ
QC • QC • SQMR

Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot-Acton

Bloc Québécois projected to win

Margin
+19.9%
Win Probability
99.7%
Voters (2025)
57,986

Win Probability

Chance of winning this riding

BQ BQ
99.7%
LPC LPC
0.3%

Projected Vote Share

With margin of error (±MoE) • n=70

BQ BQ +5.0
48.8% ±10.1
95% CI: 39.3% – 48.5% 2025: 43.9%
LPC LPC -4.7
28.9% ±9.2
95% CI: 18.5% – 33.8% 2025: 33.6%
CPC CPC -3.1
14.9% ±7.2
95% CI: 14.1% – 17.2% 2025: 18.0%
NDP NDP +1.8
4.2% ±4.0
95% CI: 0.0% – 10.2% 2025: 2.4%
GPC GPC +0.3
1.7% ±3.0
95% CI: 0.0% – 10.4% 2025: 1.4%
OTH OTH +1.1
1.1% ±3.0
95% CI: 0.1% – 9.6%

Uncertainty factor: 1.01× (Moderate uncertainty)

Historical Results

Past election outcomes

2025 Election

BQ
BQ
+10.2%
BQ
43.9%
LPC
33.6%
CPC
18.0%
NDP
2.4%
GPC
1.4%

2021 Election

BQ
BQ
+24.8%
BQ
47.5%
LPC
22.7%
CPC
13.5%
NDP
11.6%
PPC
2.7%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Riding ID: 24066