Last updated: May 12, 2026 at 1:06 PM

BC · BC · MV

Vancouver Fraserview-South Burnaby

Liberal Party of Canada projected to win by +25.9%.

LPC
Projected winner
LPC
Win prob 100.0%
Voters · 2025 51,847
Effective n 70
Uncertainty 1.06× (mod)

Win probability

Chance of winning this seat

  • LPC LPC
    100.0%
  • CPC CPC
    0.0%

Projected vote share

Forecast with ±MoE, 95% CI as ticks, dashed baseline = previous

  • LPC LPC +3.9
    56.2% ±10.4
  • CPC CPC -5.4
    30.3% ±9.6
  • NDP NDP +0.4
    10.2% ±6.3
  • GPC GPC +0.3
    1.6% ±3.1
  • OTH OTH +1.0
    1.0% ±3.1
  • PPC PPC -0.2
    0.7% ±3.1

Past elections in Vancouver Fraserview-South Burnaby

Candidate roster, votes, and margins from previous elections

Full archive →

2025

Liberal Party of Canada +16.6% — Gregor Robertson
51,847 votes
  • LPC Gregor Robertson 52.3% Won
  • CPC Avi Nayyar 35.7%
  • NDP Manoj Bhangu 9.8%
  • GPC Alexander Dow 1.3%
  • PPC Desiderio Magtanggol "Bonn" Reyes 0.9%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Vancouver Fraserview-South Burnaby demographics

High-importance census indicators the model tracks. Click a row with a chevron to drill into its breakdown.

Age groups

    • 0 to 4 years 4.2%
    • 0 to 4 years 4.2%
    • 5 to 9 years 4.4%
    • 5 to 9 years 4.4%
    • 10 to 14 years 4.4%
    • 10 to 14 years 4.4%
    • 15 to 19 years 5.0%
    • 15 to 19 years 5.0%
    • 20 to 24 years 6.7%
    • 20 to 24 years 6.7%
    • 25 to 29 years 7.9%
    • 25 to 29 years 7.9%
    • 30 to 34 years 7.8%
    • 30 to 34 years 7.8%
    • 35 to 39 years 7.1%
    • 35 to 39 years 7.1%
    • 40 to 44 years 6.5%
    • 40 to 44 years 6.5%
    • 45 to 49 years 6.4%
    • 45 to 49 years 6.4%
    • 50 to 54 years 6.8%
    • 50 to 54 years 6.8%
    • 55 to 59 years 7.5%
    • 55 to 59 years 7.5%
    • 60 to 64 years 6.8%
    • 60 to 64 years 6.8%
    • 65 to 69 years 5.9%
    • 65 to 69 years 5.9%
    • 70 to 74 years 4.8%
    • 70 to 74 years 4.8%
    • 75 to 79 years 2.9%
    • 75 to 79 years 2.9%
    • 80 to 84 years 2.4%
    • 80 to 84 years 2.4%
    • 85 years and over 2.7%
    • 85 years and over 2.7%

Average age

  • Average age 42.7
  • Average age 42.7

Median age

  • Median age 42
  • Median age 42

Average size of census families

  • Average size of census families 2.9
  • Average size of census families 2.9

Average number of children in census families with children

  • Average number of children in census families with children 1.6
  • Average number of children in census families with children 1.6

Income statistics in 2020 for the population aged 15 years and over in private households

    • Median after-tax income in 2020 among recipients ($) $34,000
    • Median after-tax income in 2020 among recipients ($) $34,000

Composition of total income in 2020

  • Government transfers (%) 19.3%

Prevalence of low income based on the Low-income measure, after tax (LIM-AT) (%)

  • Prevalence of low income based on the Low-income measure, after tax (LIM-AT) (%) 11.0%
  • Prevalence of low income based on the Low-income measure, after tax (LIM-AT) (%) 11.0%

Inequality measures for the population in private households

  • Gini index on adjusted household total income 0.311

Knowledge of official languages for the total population excluding institutional residents

n = 116,405

  • English only 86.4%
  • French only 0.0%
  • English and French 4.2%
  • Neither English nor French 9.4%

All languages spoken at home for the total population excluding institutional residents

n = 116,405

  • English 37.8%
  • French 0.1%
    • Indigenous 0
    • Indigenous 0
    • Non-Indigenous 21.7%
    • Non-Indigenous 21.7%
  • English and French 0.6%
  • English and non-official language(s) 36.8%
  • French and non-official language(s) 0.0%
  • English, French and non-official language(s) 0.6%
  • Multiple non-official languages 2.5%

Knowledge of languages for the population in private households

n = 115,745

    • English 90.6%
    • English 90.6%
    • French 4.4%
    • French 4.4%
    • Indigenous languages 0.1%
    • Indigenous languages 0.1%
    • Non-Indigenous languages 71.3%
    • Non-Indigenous languages 71.3%

Indigenous identity for the population in private households

  • Indigenous identity 1.4%

Registered or Treaty Indian status for the population in private households

  • Registered or Treaty Indian 0.6%

Occupied private dwellings by housing indicators

  • Total - Households 'spending 30% or more of income on shelter costs' or 'not suitable' or 'major repairs needed' 37.5%

Owner households in non-farm, non-reserve private dwellings

  • Median monthly shelter costs for owned dwellings ($) $1,300
  • Average monthly shelter costs for owned dwellings ($) $1,756

Immigrant status and period of immigration for the population in private households

n = 115,740

  • Non-immigrants 40.9%
    • Before 1980 7.6%
    • Before 1980 7.6%
    • 1980 to 1990 8.0%
    • 1980 to 1990 8.0%
    • 1991 to 2000 15.6%
    • 1991 to 2000 15.6%
    • 2001 to 2010 11.0%
    • 2001 to 2010 11.0%
    • 2011 to 2021 11.9%
    • 2011 to 2021 11.9%
  • Non-permanent residents 5.0%

Generation status for the population in private households

n = 115,740

  • First generation 60.2%
  • Second generation 26.3%
  • Third generation or more 13.5%

Admission category and applicant type for the immigrant population in private households who were admitted between 1980 and 2021

n = 53,855

    • Principal applicants 22.6%
    • Principal applicants 22.6%
    • Secondary applicants 32.9%
    • Secondary applicants 32.9%
  • Immigrants sponsored by family 33.6%
  • Refugees 8.9%
  • Other immigrants 2.0%

Visible minority for the population in private households

    • South Asian 13.9%
    • South Asian 13.9%
    • Chinese 37.1%
    • Chinese 37.1%
    • Black 1.5%
    • Black 1.5%
    • Filipino 10.1%
    • Filipino 10.1%
    • Arab 0.6%
    • Arab 0.6%
    • Latin American 2.3%
    • Latin American 2.3%
    • Southeast Asian 4.1%
    • Southeast Asian 4.1%
    • West Asian 0.8%
    • West Asian 0.8%
    • Korean 2.0%
    • Korean 2.0%
    • Japanese 1.4%
    • Japanese 1.4%
    • Visible minority, n.i.e. 0.6%
    • Visible minority, n.i.e. 0.6%
    • Multiple visible minorities 2.9%
    • Multiple visible minorities 2.9%
  • Not a visible minority 22.7%

Ethnic or cultural origin for the population in private households

n = 115,740

  • Chinese 34.1%
  • Filipino 9.7%
  • Indian (India) 8.2%
  • English 5.8%
  • Scottish 5.1%
  • Irish 4.1%
  • Canadian 3.9%
  • Vietnamese 3.8%
  • German 3.4%
  • Asian, n.o.s. 2.6%
  • Punjabi 2.5%
  • French, n.o.s. 2.2%
  • Hong Konger 2.2%
  • Korean 2.1%
  • Taiwanese 2.1%
  • Japanese 1.8%
  • Ukrainian 1.7%
  • Spanish 1.6%
  • Sikh 1.6%
  • Italian 1.5%
  • Polish 1.4%
  • British Isles, n.o.s. 1.3%
  • Russian 1.2%
  • Dutch 1.0%

Religion for the population in private households

n = 115,740

  • Buddhist 5.5%
    • Catholic 16.0%
    • Catholic 16.0%
    • Christian, n.o.s. 8.4%
    • Christian, n.o.s. 8.4%
    • Other Christian and Christian-related traditions 1.8%
    • Other Christian and Christian-related traditions 1.8%
    • Christian Orthodox 1.3%
    • Christian Orthodox 1.3%
    • Baptist 1.1%
    • Baptist 1.1%
    • Other (20 <1%) 0.0%
  • Hindu 3.6%
  • Jewish 0.3%
  • Muslim 3.1%
  • Sikh 7.4%
  • Traditional (North American Indigenous) spirituality 0.1%
  • Other religions and spiritual traditions 0.8%
  • No religion and secular perspectives 46.2%

Highest certificate, diploma or degree for the population aged 15 years and over in private households

  • No certificate, diploma or degree 15.1%
  • High (secondary) school diploma or equivalency certificate 28.2%
    • Postsecondary certificate or diploma below bachelor level 24.0%
    • Postsecondary certificate or diploma below bachelor level 24.0%
    • Bachelor's degree or higher 32.7%
    • Bachelor's degree or higher 32.7%

Population aged 15 years and over by work activity during the reference year

    • Average weeks worked in reference year 40.2
    • Average weeks worked in reference year 40.2

Labour force aged 15 years and over by occupation - Broad category - National Occupational Classification (NOC) 2021

    • 0 Legislative and senior management occupations 0.8%
    • 0 Legislative and senior management occupations 0.8%
    • 1 Business, finance and administration occupations 18.4%
    • 1 Business, finance and administration occupations 18.4%
    • 2 Natural and applied sciences and related occupations 10.0%
    • 2 Natural and applied sciences and related occupations 10.0%
    • 3 Health occupations 7.5%
    • 3 Health occupations 7.5%
    • 4 Occupations in education, law and social, community and government services 9.5%
    • 4 Occupations in education, law and social, community and government services 9.5%
    • 5 Occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport 3.8%
    • 5 Occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport 3.8%
    • 6 Sales and service occupations 28.5%
    • 6 Sales and service occupations 28.5%
    • 7 Trades, transport and equipment operators and related occupations 14.6%
    • 7 Trades, transport and equipment operators and related occupations 14.6%
    • 8 Natural resources, agriculture and related production occupations 0.9%
    • 8 Natural resources, agriculture and related production occupations 0.9%
    • 9 Occupations in manufacturing and utilities 3.7%
    • 9 Occupations in manufacturing and utilities 3.7%

First official language spoken for the total population excluding institutional residents

n = 116,405

  • English 89.6%
  • French 0.6%
  • English and French 0.5%
  • Neither English nor French 9.3%

Mother tongue for the total population excluding institutional residents

n = 116,405

    • Official languages 34.5%
    • Official languages 34.5%
    • Non-official languages 58.2%
    • Non-official languages 58.2%
    • English and non-official language(s) 6.1%
    • English and non-official language(s) 6.1%
    • Other (8 <1%) 0.0%

Language spoken most often at home for the total population excluding institutional residents

n = 116,405

    • Official languages 51.9%
    • Official languages 51.9%
    • Non-official languages 39.5%
    • Non-official languages 39.5%
    • English and non-official language(s) 8.1%
    • English and non-official language(s) 8.1%
    • Other (8 <1%) 0.0%

Other language(s) spoken regularly at home for the total population excluding institutional residents

n = 116,405

  • None 66.5%
  • English 13.2%
  • French 0.5%
    • Indigenous 0.0%
    • Indigenous 0.0%
    • Non-Indigenous 15.2%
    • Non-Indigenous 15.2%
  • English and French 0.1%
  • English and non-official language(s) 2.5%
  • French and non-official language(s) 0.3%
  • English, French and non-official language(s) 0.0%
  • Multiple non-official languages 1.7%

Age at immigration for the immigrant population in private households

n = 62,620

  • Under 5 years 6.3%
  • 5 to 14 years 14.4%
  • 15 to 24 years 20.4%
  • 25 to 44 years 45.6%
  • 45 years and over 13.3%

Place of birth for the immigrant population in private households

n = 62,620

    • Other places of birth in Americas 1.3%
    • Other places of birth in Americas 1.3%
    • United States of America 1.2%
    • United States of America 1.2%
    • Other (18 <1%) 0.0%
    • United Kingdom 1.5%
    • United Kingdom 1.5%
    • Other places of birth in Europe 1.2%
    • Other places of birth in Europe 1.2%
    • Other (28 <1%) 2.7%
    • Other places of birth in Africa 1.0%
    • Other places of birth in Africa 1.0%
    • Other (18 <1%) 0.1%
    • China 26.6%
    • China 26.6%
    • Philippines 15.2%
    • Philippines 15.2%
    • Hong Kong 11.7%
    • Hong Kong 11.7%
    • India 9.7%
    • India 9.7%
    • Other places of birth in Asia 5.1%
    • Other places of birth in Asia 5.1%
    • Viet Nam 4.5%
    • Viet Nam 4.5%
    • Taiwan 4.2%
    • Taiwan 4.2%
    • Korea, South 2.4%
    • Korea, South 2.4%
    • Other (18 <1%) 0.0%
  • Oceania and other places of birth 1.9%

Place of birth for the recent immigrant population in private households

n = 7,500

    • Other places of birth in Americas 3.2%
    • Other places of birth in Americas 3.2%
    • Brazil 2.3%
    • Brazil 2.3%
    • United States of America 2.3%
    • United States of America 2.3%
    • Mexico 1.5%
    • Mexico 1.5%
    • Other (8 <1%) 0.0%
    • Other places of birth in Europe 3.0%
    • Other places of birth in Europe 3.0%
    • Ukraine 1.0%
    • Ukraine 1.0%
    • Other (12 <1%) 0.0%
    • Other (30 <1%) 3.6%
    • China 21.9%
    • China 21.9%
    • Philippines 20.3%
    • Philippines 20.3%
    • India 14.3%
    • India 14.3%
    • Viet Nam 3.9%
    • Viet Nam 3.9%
    • Other places of birth in Asia 3.4%
    • Other places of birth in Asia 3.4%
    • Korea, South 2.9%
    • Korea, South 2.9%
    • Syria 2.7%
    • Syria 2.7%
    • Sri Lanka 1.7%
    • Sri Lanka 1.7%
    • Hong Kong 1.4%
    • Hong Kong 1.4%
    • Japan 1.2%
    • Japan 1.2%
    • Iraq 1.1%
    • Iraq 1.1%
    • Other (22 <1%) 0.0%
    • Australia 0
    • Australia 0
    • Other places of birth 0.1%
    • Other places of birth 0.1%

Pre-admission experience for the immigrant population in private households who were admitted between 1980 and 2021

n = 53,855

  • Asylum claim before admission 2.5%
  • Work permits only before admission 9.7%
  • Study permits only before admission 3.1%
  • Work and study permits before admission 5.6%
  • Other permits before admission 0.4%
  • No pre-admission experience 78.7%

All languages used at work for the population in private households aged 15 years and over who worked since January 1, 2020

n = 68,275

  • English 83.1%
  • French 0.1%
    • Indigenous 0
    • Indigenous 0
    • Non-Indigenous 4.8%
    • Non-Indigenous 4.8%
  • English and French 0.5%
  • English and non-official language(s) 10.8%
  • French and non-official language(s) 0.0%
  • English, French and non-official language(s) 0.1%
  • Multiple non-official languages 0.6%

Language used most often at work for the population aged 15 years and over who worked since January 1, 2020, in private households, 2021 Census

n = 68,275

    • Official languages 89.6%
    • Official languages 89.6%
    • Non-official languages 8.1%
    • Non-official languages 8.1%
    • English and non-official language(s) 2.1%
    • English and non-official language(s) 2.1%
    • Other (8 <1%) 0.0%

Other language(s) used regularly at work for the population in private households aged 15 years and over who worked since January 1, 2020

n = 68,275

  • None 89.9%
  • English 2.2%
  • French 0.4%
    • Indigenous 0.0%
    • Indigenous 0.0%
    • Non-Indigenous 5.7%
    • Non-Indigenous 5.7%
  • English and French 0
  • English and non-official language(s) 0.6%
  • French and non-official language(s) 0.1%
  • English, French and non-official language(s) 0
  • Multiple non-official languages 1.2%

Eligibility for instruction in the minority official language for the population in private households born in 2003 or later

n = 18,985

  • Children eligible for instruction in the minority official language 5.6%
  • Children not eligible for instruction in the minority official language 94.4%

Eligibility and instruction in the minority official language, for the population in private households born between 2003 and 2015 (inclusive)

n = 13,710

    • Eligible children who have been instructed in the minority official language at the primary or secondary level in Canada 4.6%
    • Eligible children who have been instructed in the minority official language at the primary or secondary level in Canada 4.6%
    • Eligible children who have not been instructed in the minority official language at the primary or secondary level in Canada 1.7%
    • Eligible children who have not been instructed in the minority official language at the primary or secondary level in Canada 1.7%
  • Children not eligible for instruction in the minority official language 93.8%

RIDING ID · 202359037