Last updated: May 12, 2026 at 1:06 PM

BC · BC · FVRD

South Surrey-White Rock

Liberal Party of Canada projected to win by +15.0%.

LPC
Projected winner
LPC
Win prob 98.4%
Voters · 2025 65,527
Effective n 70
Uncertainty 0.95× (low)

Win probability

Chance of winning this seat

  • LPC LPC
    98.4%
  • CPC CPC
    1.6%

Projected vote share

Forecast with ±MoE, 95% CI as ticks, dashed baseline = previous

  • LPC LPC +3.9
    54.4% ±9.7
  • CPC CPC -6.3
    39.4% ±9.5
  • NDP NDP +0.3
    2.8% ±3.2
  • GPC GPC +0.3
    1.6% ±2.9
  • OTH OTH +1.0
    1.0% ±2.9
  • PPC PPC +0.7
    0.7% ±2.9

Past elections in South Surrey-White Rock

Candidate roster, votes, and margins from previous elections

Full archive →

2025

Liberal Party of Canada +4.8% — Ernie Klassen
65,527 votes
  • LPC Ernie Klassen 50.5% Won
  • CPC Kerry-Lynne D. Findlay 45.7%
  • NDP Jureun Park 2.5%
  • GPC Christine Kinnie 1.3%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

South Surrey-White Rock demographics

High-importance census indicators the model tracks. Click a row with a chevron to drill into its breakdown.

Age groups

    • 0 to 4 years 4.2%
    • 0 to 4 years 4.2%
    • 5 to 9 years 5.1%
    • 5 to 9 years 5.1%
    • 10 to 14 years 5.5%
    • 10 to 14 years 5.5%
    • 15 to 19 years 5.4%
    • 15 to 19 years 5.4%
    • 20 to 24 years 4.7%
    • 20 to 24 years 4.7%
    • 25 to 29 years 4.4%
    • 25 to 29 years 4.4%
    • 30 to 34 years 5.3%
    • 30 to 34 years 5.3%
    • 35 to 39 years 5.8%
    • 35 to 39 years 5.8%
    • 40 to 44 years 6.1%
    • 40 to 44 years 6.1%
    • 45 to 49 years 6.8%
    • 45 to 49 years 6.8%
    • 50 to 54 years 7.0%
    • 50 to 54 years 7.0%
    • 55 to 59 years 7.3%
    • 55 to 59 years 7.3%
    • 60 to 64 years 7.1%
    • 60 to 64 years 7.1%
    • 65 to 69 years 6.9%
    • 65 to 69 years 6.9%
    • 70 to 74 years 6.5%
    • 70 to 74 years 6.5%
    • 75 to 79 years 4.8%
    • 75 to 79 years 4.8%
    • 80 to 84 years 3.4%
    • 80 to 84 years 3.4%
    • 85 years and over 3.8%
    • 85 years and over 3.8%

Average age

  • Average age 45.7
  • Average age 45.7

Median age

  • Median age 47.6
  • Median age 47.6

Average size of census families

  • Average size of census families 2.8
  • Average size of census families 2.8

Average number of children in census families with children

  • Average number of children in census families with children 1.7
  • Average number of children in census families with children 1.7

Income statistics in 2020 for the population aged 15 years and over in private households

    • Median after-tax income in 2020 among recipients ($) $39,600
    • Median after-tax income in 2020 among recipients ($) $39,600

Composition of total income in 2020

  • Government transfers (%) 14.4%

Prevalence of low income based on the Low-income measure, after tax (LIM-AT) (%)

  • Prevalence of low income based on the Low-income measure, after tax (LIM-AT) (%) 11.2%
  • Prevalence of low income based on the Low-income measure, after tax (LIM-AT) (%) 11.2%

Inequality measures for the population in private households

  • Gini index on adjusted household total income 0.386

Knowledge of official languages for the total population excluding institutional residents

n = 116,130

  • English only 89.5%
  • French only 0.0%
  • English and French 7.0%
  • Neither English nor French 3.5%

All languages spoken at home for the total population excluding institutional residents

n = 116,130

  • English 68.4%
  • French 0.1%
    • Indigenous 0
    • Indigenous 0
    • Non-Indigenous 10.5%
    • Non-Indigenous 10.5%
  • English and French 0.8%
  • English and non-official language(s) 18.9%
  • French and non-official language(s) 0.0%
  • English, French and non-official language(s) 0.5%
  • Multiple non-official languages 0.7%

Knowledge of languages for the population in private households

n = 115,080

    • English 96.5%
    • English 96.5%
    • French 7.1%
    • French 7.1%
    • Indigenous languages 0.0%
    • Indigenous languages 0.0%
    • Non-Indigenous languages 38.7%
    • Non-Indigenous languages 38.7%

Indigenous identity for the population in private households

  • Indigenous identity 2.1%

Registered or Treaty Indian status for the population in private households

  • Registered or Treaty Indian 0.6%

Occupied private dwellings by housing indicators

  • Total - Households 'spending 30% or more of income on shelter costs' or 'not suitable' or 'major repairs needed' 33.0%

Owner households in non-farm, non-reserve private dwellings

  • Median monthly shelter costs for owned dwellings ($) $1,440
  • Average monthly shelter costs for owned dwellings ($) $1,994

Immigrant status and period of immigration for the population in private households

n = 115,075

  • Non-immigrants 64.7%
    • Before 1980 7.6%
    • Before 1980 7.6%
    • 1980 to 1990 3.1%
    • 1980 to 1990 3.1%
    • 1991 to 2000 5.5%
    • 1991 to 2000 5.5%
    • 2001 to 2010 8.1%
    • 2001 to 2010 8.1%
    • 2011 to 2021 9.1%
    • 2011 to 2021 9.1%
  • Non-permanent residents 1.9%

Generation status for the population in private households

n = 115,080

  • First generation 36.7%
  • Second generation 24.6%
  • Third generation or more 38.7%

Admission category and applicant type for the immigrant population in private households who were admitted between 1980 and 2021

n = 29,660

    • Principal applicants 24.7%
    • Principal applicants 24.7%
    • Secondary applicants 43.2%
    • Secondary applicants 43.2%
  • Immigrants sponsored by family 27.3%
  • Refugees 4.2%
  • Other immigrants 0.5%

Visible minority for the population in private households

    • South Asian 11.5%
    • South Asian 11.5%
    • Chinese 16.4%
    • Chinese 16.4%
    • Black 1.2%
    • Black 1.2%
    • Filipino 2.1%
    • Filipino 2.1%
    • Arab 0.5%
    • Arab 0.5%
    • Latin American 1.0%
    • Latin American 1.0%
    • Southeast Asian 0.6%
    • Southeast Asian 0.6%
    • West Asian 0.3%
    • West Asian 0.3%
    • Korean 1.5%
    • Korean 1.5%
    • Japanese 0.8%
    • Japanese 0.8%
    • Visible minority, n.i.e. 0.3%
    • Visible minority, n.i.e. 0.3%
    • Multiple visible minorities 1.1%
    • Multiple visible minorities 1.1%
  • Not a visible minority 62.7%

Ethnic or cultural origin for the population in private households

n = 115,075

  • English 21.1%
  • Scottish 15.0%
  • Chinese 14.9%
  • Irish 12.5%
  • German 10.8%
  • Canadian 8.1%
  • Indian (India) 7.3%
  • French, n.o.s. 5.5%
  • British Isles, n.o.s. 4.9%
  • Ukrainian 4.6%
  • Dutch 3.6%
  • Polish 3.0%
  • Norwegian 3.0%
  • Italian 2.9%
  • Russian 2.4%
  • Punjabi 2.3%
  • Swedish 2.2%
  • Filipino 2.1%
  • Welsh 2.0%
  • European, n.o.s. 1.8%
  • Sikh 1.6%
  • Caucasian (White), n.o.s. 1.5%
  • Korean 1.5%
  • American 1.4%
  • Taiwanese 1.4%
  • Asian, n.o.s. 1.2%
  • Spanish 1.1%
  • Danish 1.1%
  • Japanese 1.1%
  • Métis 1.0%
  • Hungarian 1.0%

Religion for the population in private households

n = 115,080

  • Buddhist 1.2%
    • Christian, n.o.s. 10.7%
    • Christian, n.o.s. 10.7%
    • Anabaptist 0.2%
    • Anabaptist 0.2%
    • Anglican 3.4%
    • Anglican 3.4%
    • Baptist 1.5%
    • Baptist 1.5%
    • Catholic 11.5%
    • Catholic 11.5%
    • Christian Orthodox 1.1%
    • Christian Orthodox 1.1%
    • Jehovah's Witness 0.5%
    • Jehovah's Witness 0.5%
    • Latter Day Saints 0.2%
    • Latter Day Saints 0.2%
    • Lutheran 1.3%
    • Lutheran 1.3%
    • Methodist and Wesleyan (Holiness) 0.1%
    • Methodist and Wesleyan (Holiness) 0.1%
    • Pentecostal and other Charismatic 0.6%
    • Pentecostal and other Charismatic 0.6%
    • Presbyterian 0.7%
    • Presbyterian 0.7%
    • Reformed 0.1%
    • Reformed 0.1%
    • United Church 3.6%
    • United Church 3.6%
    • Other Christian and Christian-related traditions 2.4%
    • Other Christian and Christian-related traditions 2.4%
  • Hindu 1.4%
  • Jewish 0.5%
  • Muslim 1.9%
  • Sikh 7.5%
  • Traditional (North American Indigenous) spirituality 0.0%
  • Other religions and spiritual traditions 0.9%
  • No religion and secular perspectives 48.7%

Highest certificate, diploma or degree for the population aged 15 years and over in private households

  • No certificate, diploma or degree 9.8%
  • High (secondary) school diploma or equivalency certificate 28.8%
    • Postsecondary certificate or diploma below bachelor level 27.9%
    • Postsecondary certificate or diploma below bachelor level 27.9%
    • Bachelor's degree or higher 33.4%
    • Bachelor's degree or higher 33.4%

Population aged 15 years and over by work activity during the reference year

    • Average weeks worked in reference year 40.8
    • Average weeks worked in reference year 40.8

Labour force aged 15 years and over by occupation - Broad category - National Occupational Classification (NOC) 2021

    • 0 Legislative and senior management occupations 2.4%
    • 0 Legislative and senior management occupations 2.4%
    • 1 Business, finance and administration occupations 19.7%
    • 1 Business, finance and administration occupations 19.7%
    • 2 Natural and applied sciences and related occupations 7.2%
    • 2 Natural and applied sciences and related occupations 7.2%
    • 3 Health occupations 7.7%
    • 3 Health occupations 7.7%
    • 4 Occupations in education, law and social, community and government services 12.9%
    • 4 Occupations in education, law and social, community and government services 12.9%
    • 5 Occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport 4.6%
    • 5 Occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport 4.6%
    • 6 Sales and service occupations 24.3%
    • 6 Sales and service occupations 24.3%
    • 7 Trades, transport and equipment operators and related occupations 15.0%
    • 7 Trades, transport and equipment operators and related occupations 15.0%
    • 8 Natural resources, agriculture and related production occupations 1.7%
    • 8 Natural resources, agriculture and related production occupations 1.7%
    • 9 Occupations in manufacturing and utilities 2.3%
    • 9 Occupations in manufacturing and utilities 2.3%

First official language spoken for the total population excluding institutional residents

n = 116,130

  • English 95.2%
  • French 0.9%
  • English and French 0.4%
  • Neither English nor French 3.5%

Mother tongue for the total population excluding institutional residents

n = 116,130

    • Official languages 66.0%
    • Official languages 66.0%
    • Non-official languages 30.2%
    • Non-official languages 30.2%
    • English and non-official language(s) 3.0%
    • English and non-official language(s) 3.0%
    • Other (8 <1%) 0.0%

Language spoken most often at home for the total population excluding institutional residents

n = 116,130

    • Official languages 77.5%
    • Official languages 77.5%
    • Non-official languages 18.6%
    • Non-official languages 18.6%
    • English and non-official language(s) 3.6%
    • English and non-official language(s) 3.6%
    • Other (8 <1%) 0.0%

Other language(s) spoken regularly at home for the total population excluding institutional residents

n = 116,130

  • None 82.4%
  • English 6.7%
  • French 0.7%
    • Indigenous 0.0%
    • Indigenous 0.0%
    • Non-Indigenous 8.1%
    • Non-Indigenous 8.1%
  • English and French 0.1%
  • English and non-official language(s) 0.8%
  • French and non-official language(s) 0.3%
  • English, French and non-official language(s) 0.0%
  • Multiple non-official languages 0.8%

Age at immigration for the immigrant population in private households

n = 38,405

  • Under 5 years 8.8%
  • 5 to 14 years 17.4%
  • 15 to 24 years 17.8%
  • 25 to 44 years 44.6%
  • 45 years and over 11.3%

Place of birth for the immigrant population in private households

n = 38,405

    • United States of America 4.2%
    • United States of America 4.2%
    • Other places of birth in Americas 1.1%
    • Other places of birth in Americas 1.1%
    • Mexico 1.0%
    • Mexico 1.0%
    • Other (16 <1%) 0.0%
    • United Kingdom 11.3%
    • United Kingdom 11.3%
    • Other places of birth in Europe 3.6%
    • Other places of birth in Europe 3.6%
    • Germany 2.3%
    • Germany 2.3%
    • Netherlands 1.1%
    • Netherlands 1.1%
    • Russian Federation 1.1%
    • Russian Federation 1.1%
    • Poland 1.0%
    • Poland 1.0%
    • Other (20 <1%) 0.0%
    • Other places of birth in Africa 1.5%
    • Other places of birth in Africa 1.5%
    • South Africa, Republic of 1.4%
    • South Africa, Republic of 1.4%
    • Other (16 <1%) 0.0%
    • China 28.8%
    • China 28.8%
    • India 13.0%
    • India 13.0%
    • Taiwan 4.4%
    • Taiwan 4.4%
    • Philippines 4.0%
    • Philippines 4.0%
    • Korea, South 3.0%
    • Korea, South 3.0%
    • Other places of birth in Asia 2.8%
    • Other places of birth in Asia 2.8%
    • Hong Kong 2.1%
    • Hong Kong 2.1%
    • Pakistan 1.1%
    • Pakistan 1.1%
    • Other (18 <1%) 0.0%
  • Oceania and other places of birth 1.6%

Place of birth for the recent immigrant population in private households

n = 5,125

    • United States of America 5.5%
    • United States of America 5.5%
    • Brazil 1.3%
    • Brazil 1.3%
    • Mexico 1.2%
    • Mexico 1.2%
    • Other (10 <1%) 0.0%
    • Other places of birth in Europe 2.2%
    • Other places of birth in Europe 2.2%
    • United Kingdom 2.0%
    • United Kingdom 2.0%
    • Russian Federation 1.4%
    • Russian Federation 1.4%
    • Ukraine 1.2%
    • Ukraine 1.2%
    • Other (8 <1%) 0.0%
    • South Africa, Republic of 1.0%
    • South Africa, Republic of 1.0%
    • Other (28 <1%) 1.1%
    • China 48.8%
    • China 48.8%
    • India 12.3%
    • India 12.3%
    • Philippines 6.1%
    • Philippines 6.1%
    • Korea, South 2.6%
    • Korea, South 2.6%
    • Other places of birth in Asia 2.2%
    • Other places of birth in Asia 2.2%
    • Hong Kong 1.2%
    • Hong Kong 1.2%
    • Other (32 <1%) 0.0%
    • Australia 0.9%
    • Australia 0.9%
    • Other places of birth 0.3%
    • Other places of birth 0.3%

Pre-admission experience for the immigrant population in private households who were admitted between 1980 and 2021

n = 29,660

  • Asylum claim before admission 1.8%
  • Work permits only before admission 9.7%
  • Study permits only before admission 4.3%
  • Work and study permits before admission 5.7%
  • Other permits before admission 0.5%
  • No pre-admission experience 78.0%

All languages used at work for the population in private households aged 15 years and over who worked since January 1, 2020

n = 61,425

  • English 88.9%
  • French 0.1%
    • Indigenous 0
    • Indigenous 0
    • Non-Indigenous 2.2%
    • Non-Indigenous 2.2%
  • English and French 0.7%
  • English and non-official language(s) 7.9%
  • French and non-official language(s) 0
  • English, French and non-official language(s) 0.1%
  • Multiple non-official languages 0.1%

Language used most often at work for the population aged 15 years and over who worked since January 1, 2020, in private households, 2021 Census

n = 61,425

    • Official languages 93.9%
    • Official languages 93.9%
    • Non-official languages 4.4%
    • Non-official languages 4.4%
    • English and non-official language(s) 1.6%
    • English and non-official language(s) 1.6%
    • Other (8 <1%) 0.0%

Other language(s) used regularly at work for the population in private households aged 15 years and over who worked since January 1, 2020

n = 61,425

  • None 92.8%
  • English 1.9%
  • French 0.6%
    • Indigenous 0
    • Indigenous 0
    • Non-Indigenous 3.8%
    • Non-Indigenous 3.8%
  • English and French 0
  • English and non-official language(s) 0.3%
  • French and non-official language(s) 0.0%
  • English, French and non-official language(s) 0
  • Multiple non-official languages 0.6%

Eligibility for instruction in the minority official language for the population in private households born in 2003 or later

n = 21,815

  • Children eligible for instruction in the minority official language 6.3%
  • Children not eligible for instruction in the minority official language 93.7%

Eligibility and instruction in the minority official language, for the population in private households born between 2003 and 2015 (inclusive)

n = 16,420

    • Eligible children who have been instructed in the minority official language at the primary or secondary level in Canada 4.0%
    • Eligible children who have been instructed in the minority official language at the primary or secondary level in Canada 4.0%
    • Eligible children who have not been instructed in the minority official language at the primary or secondary level in Canada 3.0%
    • Eligible children who have not been instructed in the minority official language at the primary or secondary level in Canada 3.0%
  • Children not eligible for instruction in the minority official language 93.1%

RIDING ID · 202359032