Last updated: May 12, 2026 at 1:06 PM

BC · BC · FVRD

Abbotsford-South Langley

Conservative Party of Canada projected to win by +0.2%.

CPC
Projected winner
CPC
Win prob 49.2%
Voters · 2025 55,192
Effective n 70
Uncertainty 1.03× (mod)

Win probability

Chance of winning this seat

  • CPC CPC
    49.2%
  • LPC LPC
    47.0%
  • OTH OTH
    3.8%

Projected vote share

Forecast with ±MoE, 95% CI as ticks, dashed baseline = previous

  • CPC CPC -8.7
    34.4% ±9.7
  • LPC LPC +0.5
    34.2% ±9.7
  • OTH OTH +7.8
    25.4% ±8.9
  • NDP NDP +0.0
    3.8% ±3.9
  • GPC GPC +0.2
    1.2% ±3.1
  • PPC PPC +0.2
    1.0% ±3.1

Past elections in Abbotsford-South Langley

Candidate roster, votes, and margins from previous elections

Full archive →

2025

Conservative Party of Canada +9.3% — Sukhman Gill
55,192 votes
  • CPC Sukhman Gill 43.1% Won
  • LPC Kevin Gillies 33.8%
  • IND Michael de Jong 17.6%
  • NDP Dharmasena Yakandawela 3.8%
  • GPC Melissa Snazell 1.0%
  • PPC Aeriol Alderking 0.8%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

Abbotsford-South Langley demographics

High-importance census indicators the model tracks. Click a row with a chevron to drill into its breakdown.

Age groups

    • 0 to 4 years 5.0%
    • 0 to 4 years 5.0%
    • 5 to 9 years 5.3%
    • 5 to 9 years 5.3%
    • 10 to 14 years 5.5%
    • 10 to 14 years 5.5%
    • 15 to 19 years 5.4%
    • 15 to 19 years 5.4%
    • 20 to 24 years 6.4%
    • 20 to 24 years 6.4%
    • 25 to 29 years 6.9%
    • 25 to 29 years 6.9%
    • 30 to 34 years 7.1%
    • 30 to 34 years 7.1%
    • 35 to 39 years 6.7%
    • 35 to 39 years 6.7%
    • 40 to 44 years 6.1%
    • 40 to 44 years 6.1%
    • 45 to 49 years 5.7%
    • 45 to 49 years 5.7%
    • 50 to 54 years 6.2%
    • 50 to 54 years 6.2%
    • 55 to 59 years 6.5%
    • 55 to 59 years 6.5%
    • 60 to 64 years 6.5%
    • 60 to 64 years 6.5%
    • 65 to 69 years 5.9%
    • 65 to 69 years 5.9%
    • 70 to 74 years 5.3%
    • 70 to 74 years 5.3%
    • 75 to 79 years 3.8%
    • 75 to 79 years 3.8%
    • 80 to 84 years 2.7%
    • 80 to 84 years 2.7%
    • 85 years and over 3.0%
    • 85 years and over 3.0%

Average age

  • Average age 42.4
  • Average age 42.4

Median age

  • Median age 41.2
  • Median age 41.2

Average size of census families

  • Average size of census families 2.9
  • Average size of census families 2.9

Average number of children in census families with children

  • Average number of children in census families with children 1.8
  • Average number of children in census families with children 1.8

Income statistics in 2020 for the population aged 15 years and over in private households

    • Median after-tax income in 2020 among recipients ($) $34,800
    • Median after-tax income in 2020 among recipients ($) $34,800

Composition of total income in 2020

  • Government transfers (%) 20.5%

Prevalence of low income based on the Low-income measure, after tax (LIM-AT) (%)

  • Prevalence of low income based on the Low-income measure, after tax (LIM-AT) (%) 9.8%
  • Prevalence of low income based on the Low-income measure, after tax (LIM-AT) (%) 9.8%

Inequality measures for the population in private households

  • Gini index on adjusted household total income 0.313

Knowledge of official languages for the total population excluding institutional residents

n = 114,410

  • English only 90.9%
  • French only 0.0%
  • English and French 4.1%
  • Neither English nor French 4.9%

All languages spoken at home for the total population excluding institutional residents

n = 114,410

  • English 69.8%
  • French 0.1%
    • Indigenous 0
    • Indigenous 0
    • Non-Indigenous 12.3%
    • Non-Indigenous 12.3%
  • English and French 0.5%
  • English and non-official language(s) 16.5%
  • French and non-official language(s) 0.0%
  • English, French and non-official language(s) 0.3%
  • Multiple non-official languages 0.5%

Knowledge of languages for the population in private households

n = 113,725

    • English 95.0%
    • English 95.0%
    • French 4.1%
    • French 4.1%
    • Indigenous languages 0.1%
    • Indigenous languages 0.1%
    • Non-Indigenous languages 35.7%
    • Non-Indigenous languages 35.7%

Indigenous identity for the population in private households

  • Indigenous identity 5.1%

Registered or Treaty Indian status for the population in private households

  • Registered or Treaty Indian 1.3%

Occupied private dwellings by housing indicators

  • Total - Households 'spending 30% or more of income on shelter costs' or 'not suitable' or 'major repairs needed' 33.2%

Owner households in non-farm, non-reserve private dwellings

  • Median monthly shelter costs for owned dwellings ($) $1,320
  • Average monthly shelter costs for owned dwellings ($) $1,620

Immigrant status and period of immigration for the population in private households

n = 113,730

  • Non-immigrants 71.3%
    • Before 1980 5.2%
    • Before 1980 5.2%
    • 1980 to 1990 2.8%
    • 1980 to 1990 2.8%
    • 1991 to 2000 4.9%
    • 1991 to 2000 4.9%
    • 2001 to 2010 6.0%
    • 2001 to 2010 6.0%
    • 2011 to 2021 6.8%
    • 2011 to 2021 6.8%
  • Non-permanent residents 3.1%

Generation status for the population in private households

n = 113,730

  • First generation 29.6%
  • Second generation 23.7%
  • Third generation or more 46.7%

Admission category and applicant type for the immigrant population in private households who were admitted between 1980 and 2021

n = 23,215

    • Principal applicants 13.6%
    • Principal applicants 13.6%
    • Secondary applicants 18.2%
    • Secondary applicants 18.2%
  • Immigrants sponsored by family 58.3%
  • Refugees 9.4%
  • Other immigrants 0.4%

Visible minority for the population in private households

    • South Asian 22.9%
    • South Asian 22.9%
    • Southeast Asian 1.9%
    • Southeast Asian 1.9%
    • Filipino 1.8%
    • Filipino 1.8%
    • Chinese 1.6%
    • Chinese 1.6%
    • Black 1.5%
    • Black 1.5%
    • Latin American 1.0%
    • Latin American 1.0%
    • Other (12 <1%) 0.0%
  • Not a visible minority 66.4%

Ethnic or cultural origin for the population in private households

n = 113,730

  • English 19.9%
  • Scottish 14.3%
  • German 14.0%
  • Indian (India) 12.3%
  • Irish 11.1%
  • Canadian 10.4%
  • Dutch 6.5%
  • Punjabi 6.4%
  • French, n.o.s. 5.9%
  • Sikh 5.3%
  • Ukrainian 4.4%
  • Russian 3.3%
  • British Isles, n.o.s. 2.9%
  • Norwegian 2.8%
  • Italian 2.5%
  • Polish 2.5%
  • European, n.o.s. 2.4%
  • Métis 2.2%
  • Welsh 2.1%
  • Swedish 2.0%
  • Chinese 1.9%
  • Filipino 1.7%
  • Caucasian (White), n.o.s. 1.7%
  • First Nations (North American Indian), n.o.s. 1.6%
  • Vietnamese 1.5%
  • Mennonite 1.5%
  • American 1.3%
  • Danish 1.2%
  • Hungarian 1.1%
  • South Asian, n.o.s. 1.0%

Religion for the population in private households

n = 113,730

  • Buddhist 1.0%
    • Christian, n.o.s. 13.6%
    • Christian, n.o.s. 13.6%
    • Anabaptist 2.3%
    • Anabaptist 2.3%
    • Anglican 2.1%
    • Anglican 2.1%
    • Baptist 1.4%
    • Baptist 1.4%
    • Catholic 7.7%
    • Catholic 7.7%
    • Christian Orthodox 0.5%
    • Christian Orthodox 0.5%
    • Jehovah's Witness 0.7%
    • Jehovah's Witness 0.7%
    • Latter Day Saints 0.2%
    • Latter Day Saints 0.2%
    • Lutheran 0.8%
    • Lutheran 0.8%
    • Methodist and Wesleyan (Holiness) 0.1%
    • Methodist and Wesleyan (Holiness) 0.1%
    • Pentecostal and other Charismatic 1.5%
    • Pentecostal and other Charismatic 1.5%
    • Presbyterian 0.5%
    • Presbyterian 0.5%
    • Reformed 0.9%
    • Reformed 0.9%
    • United Church 2.2%
    • United Church 2.2%
    • Other Christian and Christian-related traditions 2.9%
    • Other Christian and Christian-related traditions 2.9%
  • Hindu 1.9%
  • Jewish 0.1%
  • Muslim 1.3%
  • Sikh 19.2%
  • Traditional (North American Indigenous) spirituality 0.1%
  • Other religions and spiritual traditions 0.8%
  • No religion and secular perspectives 38.4%

Highest certificate, diploma or degree for the population aged 15 years and over in private households

  • No certificate, diploma or degree 19.4%
  • High (secondary) school diploma or equivalency certificate 35.7%
    • Postsecondary certificate or diploma below bachelor level 28.6%
    • Postsecondary certificate or diploma below bachelor level 28.6%
    • Bachelor's degree or higher 16.3%
    • Bachelor's degree or higher 16.3%

Population aged 15 years and over by work activity during the reference year

    • Average weeks worked in reference year 41.5
    • Average weeks worked in reference year 41.5

Labour force aged 15 years and over by occupation - Broad category - National Occupational Classification (NOC) 2021

    • 0 Legislative and senior management occupations 0.8%
    • 0 Legislative and senior management occupations 0.8%
    • 1 Business, finance and administration occupations 14.9%
    • 1 Business, finance and administration occupations 14.9%
    • 2 Natural and applied sciences and related occupations 4.1%
    • 2 Natural and applied sciences and related occupations 4.1%
    • 3 Health occupations 6.3%
    • 3 Health occupations 6.3%
    • 4 Occupations in education, law and social, community and government services 9.4%
    • 4 Occupations in education, law and social, community and government services 9.4%
    • 5 Occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport 2.3%
    • 5 Occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport 2.3%
    • 6 Sales and service occupations 24.0%
    • 6 Sales and service occupations 24.0%
    • 7 Trades, transport and equipment operators and related occupations 24.9%
    • 7 Trades, transport and equipment operators and related occupations 24.9%
    • 8 Natural resources, agriculture and related production occupations 5.2%
    • 8 Natural resources, agriculture and related production occupations 5.2%
    • 9 Occupations in manufacturing and utilities 5.8%
    • 9 Occupations in manufacturing and utilities 5.8%

First official language spoken for the total population excluding institutional residents

n = 114,410

  • English 94.2%
  • French 0.7%
  • English and French 0.3%
  • Neither English nor French 4.8%

Mother tongue for the total population excluding institutional residents

n = 114,410

    • Official languages 67.3%
    • Official languages 67.3%
    • Non-official languages 29.2%
    • Non-official languages 29.2%
    • English and non-official language(s) 2.9%
    • English and non-official language(s) 2.9%
    • Other (8 <1%) 0.0%

Language spoken most often at home for the total population excluding institutional residents

n = 114,410

    • Official languages 76.2%
    • Official languages 76.2%
    • Non-official languages 19.8%
    • Non-official languages 19.8%
    • English and non-official language(s) 3.8%
    • English and non-official language(s) 3.8%
    • Other (8 <1%) 0.0%

Other language(s) spoken regularly at home for the total population excluding institutional residents

n = 114,410

  • None 85.5%
  • English 6.2%
  • French 0.4%
    • Indigenous 0.0%
    • Indigenous 0.0%
    • Non-Indigenous 6.3%
    • Non-Indigenous 6.3%
  • English and French 0.1%
  • English and non-official language(s) 0.8%
  • French and non-official language(s) 0.2%
  • English, French and non-official language(s) 0.0%
  • Multiple non-official languages 0.6%

Age at immigration for the immigrant population in private households

n = 29,110

  • Under 5 years 7.4%
  • 5 to 14 years 14.1%
  • 15 to 24 years 26.2%
  • 25 to 44 years 37.3%
  • 45 years and over 15.0%

Place of birth for the immigrant population in private households

n = 29,110

    • United States of America 3.6%
    • United States of America 3.6%
    • Other places of birth in Americas 2.5%
    • Other places of birth in Americas 2.5%
    • Other (18 <1%) 0.0%
    • United Kingdom 6.9%
    • United Kingdom 6.9%
    • Germany 2.8%
    • Germany 2.8%
    • Other places of birth in Europe 2.6%
    • Other places of birth in Europe 2.6%
    • Netherlands 2.1%
    • Netherlands 2.1%
    • Poland 1.0%
    • Poland 1.0%
    • Other (22 <1%) 0.0%
    • Other places of birth in Africa 1.7%
    • Other places of birth in Africa 1.7%
    • Other (18 <1%) 0.2%
    • India 47.2%
    • India 47.2%
    • Philippines 4.9%
    • Philippines 4.9%
    • Viet Nam 3.6%
    • Viet Nam 3.6%
    • Other places of birth in Asia 2.7%
    • Other places of birth in Asia 2.7%
    • China 2.3%
    • China 2.3%
    • Korea, South 1.6%
    • Korea, South 1.6%
    • Other (22 <1%) 0.0%
  • Oceania and other places of birth 1.5%

Place of birth for the recent immigrant population in private households

n = 4,190

    • United States of America 2.4%
    • United States of America 2.4%
    • Other places of birth in Americas 1.4%
    • Other places of birth in Americas 1.4%
    • Other (12 <1%) 0.0%
    • Other places of birth in Europe 1.8%
    • Other places of birth in Europe 1.8%
    • United Kingdom 1.4%
    • United Kingdom 1.4%
    • Russian Federation 1.1%
    • Russian Federation 1.1%
    • Other (10 <1%) 0.0%
    • Other places of birth in Africa 3.9%
    • Other places of birth in Africa 3.9%
    • Congo, Democratic Republic of the 1.4%
    • Congo, Democratic Republic of the 1.4%
    • Nigeria 1.4%
    • Nigeria 1.4%
    • Other (24 <1%) 0.0%
    • India 50.6%
    • India 50.6%
    • Philippines 7.8%
    • Philippines 7.8%
    • Syria 5.8%
    • Syria 5.8%
    • China 2.6%
    • China 2.6%
    • Other places of birth in Asia 2.3%
    • Other places of birth in Asia 2.3%
    • Pakistan 1.9%
    • Pakistan 1.9%
    • Korea, South 1.3%
    • Korea, South 1.3%
    • Viet Nam 1.3%
    • Viet Nam 1.3%
    • Afghanistan 1.0%
    • Afghanistan 1.0%
    • Other (26 <1%) 0.0%
    • Australia 0.5%
    • Australia 0.5%
    • Other places of birth 0.5%
    • Other places of birth 0.5%

Pre-admission experience for the immigrant population in private households who were admitted between 1980 and 2021

n = 23,215

  • Asylum claim before admission 1.9%
  • Work permits only before admission 8.2%
  • Study permits only before admission 1.7%
  • Work and study permits before admission 4.0%
  • Other permits before admission 0.6%
  • No pre-admission experience 83.6%

All languages used at work for the population in private households aged 15 years and over who worked since January 1, 2020

n = 64,365

  • English 89.2%
  • French 0.0%
    • Indigenous 0
    • Indigenous 0
    • Non-Indigenous 2.9%
    • Non-Indigenous 2.9%
  • English and French 0.5%
  • English and non-official language(s) 7.3%
  • French and non-official language(s) 0
  • English, French and non-official language(s) 0.0%
  • Multiple non-official languages 0.0%

Language used most often at work for the population aged 15 years and over who worked since January 1, 2020, in private households, 2021 Census

n = 64,365

    • Official languages 93.5%
    • Official languages 93.5%
    • Non-official languages 4.8%
    • Non-official languages 4.8%
    • English and non-official language(s) 1.6%
    • English and non-official language(s) 1.6%
    • Other (8 <1%) 0.0%

Other language(s) used regularly at work for the population in private households aged 15 years and over who worked since January 1, 2020

n = 64,365

  • None 93.7%
  • English 2.0%
  • French 0.4%
    • Indigenous 0.0%
    • Indigenous 0.0%
    • Non-Indigenous 3.6%
    • Non-Indigenous 3.6%
  • English and French 0
  • English and non-official language(s) 0.0%
  • French and non-official language(s) 0.0%
  • English, French and non-official language(s) 0
  • Multiple non-official languages 0.3%

Eligibility for instruction in the minority official language for the population in private households born in 2003 or later

n = 22,505

  • Children eligible for instruction in the minority official language 4.8%
  • Children not eligible for instruction in the minority official language 95.2%

Eligibility and instruction in the minority official language, for the population in private households born between 2003 and 2015 (inclusive)

n = 16,245

    • Eligible children who have been instructed in the minority official language at the primary or secondary level in Canada 2.6%
    • Eligible children who have been instructed in the minority official language at the primary or secondary level in Canada 2.6%
    • Eligible children who have not been instructed in the minority official language at the primary or secondary level in Canada 2.6%
    • Eligible children who have not been instructed in the minority official language at the primary or secondary level in Canada 2.6%
  • Children not eligible for instruction in the minority official language 94.9%

RIDING ID · 202359001