Last updated: May 12, 2026 at 1:06 PM

QC · QC · MTL

La Pointe-de-l'Île

Bloc Québécois projected to win by +3.5%.

BQ
Projected winner
BQ
Win prob 67.8%
Voters · 2025 52,694
Effective n 70
Uncertainty 1.06× (mod)

Win probability

Chance of winning this seat

  • BQ BQ
    67.8%
  • LPC LPC
    32.2%

Projected vote share

Forecast with ±MoE, 95% CI as ticks, dashed baseline = previous

  • BQ BQ -1.4
    41.7% ±10.2
  • LPC LPC +0.6
    38.2% ±10.1
  • CPC CPC -1.9
    11.0% ±6.5
  • NDP NDP +1.6
    5.8% ±4.9
  • GPC GPC +0.6
    2.5% ±3.2
  • PPC PPC +0.5
    0.5% ±3.1

Past elections in La Pointe-de-l'Île

Candidate roster, votes, and margins from previous elections

Full archive →

2025

Bloc Québécois +5.5% — Mario Beaulieu
52,694 votes
  • BQ Mario Beaulieu 43.0% Won
  • LPC Viviane Minko 37.6%
  • CPC Violetta Potapova 12.9%
  • NDP Ghada Chaabi 4.3%
  • GPC Olivier Huard 1.8%
  • MLPC Geneviève Royer 0.3%

Candidates

Running in this riding

No candidates announced yet

La Pointe-de-l'Île demographics

High-importance census indicators the model tracks. Click a row with a chevron to drill into its breakdown.

Age groups

    • 0 to 4 years 5.1%
    • 5 to 9 years 5.6%
    • 10 to 14 years 5.4%
    • 15 to 19 years 4.5%
    • 20 to 24 years 5.2%
    • 25 to 29 years 6.2%
    • 30 to 34 years 6.6%
    • 35 to 39 years 6.9%
    • 40 to 44 years 7.1%
    • 45 to 49 years 6.3%
    • 50 to 54 years 6.3%
    • 55 to 59 years 7.7%
    • 60 to 64 years 8.0%
    • 65 to 69 years 6.2%
    • 70 to 74 years 4.7%
    • 75 to 79 years 3.3%
    • 80 to 84 years 2.3%
    • 85 years and over 2.7%

Average age

42.8

Riding value

Median age

43.2

Riding value

Average size of census families

2.8

Riding value

Average number of children in census families with children

1.7

Riding value

Income statistics in 2020 for the population aged 15 years and over in private households

    • Median after-tax income in 2020 among recipients ($) $36,000

Composition of total income in 2020

  • Government transfers (%) 22.6%

Prevalence of low income based on the Low-income measure, after tax (LIM-AT) (%)

12.9%

Riding value

Inequality measures for the population in private households

  • Gini index on adjusted household total income 0.290

Knowledge of official languages for the total population excluding institutional residents

n = 107,460

  • English only 1.4%
  • French only 52.3%
  • English and French 45.3%
  • Neither English nor French 0.9%

All languages spoken at home for the total population excluding institutional residents

n = 107,460

  • English 2.3%
  • French 74.0%
    • Indigenous 0
    • Non-Indigenous 4.2%
  • English and French 5.2%
  • English and non-official language(s) 0.8%
  • French and non-official language(s) 9.5%
  • English, French and non-official language(s) 3.9%
  • Multiple non-official languages 0.2%

Knowledge of languages for the population in private households

n = 106,680

    • English 46.9%
    • French 97.6%
    • Indigenous languages 0.0%
    • Non-Indigenous languages 27.4%

Indigenous identity for the population in private households

  • Indigenous identity 1.5%

Registered or Treaty Indian status for the population in private households

  • Registered or Treaty Indian 0.2%

Occupied private dwellings by housing indicators

  • Total - Households 'spending 30% or more of income on shelter costs' or 'not suitable' or 'major repairs needed' 27.0%

Owner households in non-farm, non-reserve private dwellings

  • Median monthly shelter costs for owned dwellings ($) $1,210
  • Average monthly shelter costs for owned dwellings ($) $1,251

Immigrant status and period of immigration for the population in private households

n = 106,680

  • Non-immigrants 78.3%
    • Before 1980 1.9%
    • 1980 to 1990 2.3%
    • 1991 to 2000 3.4%
    • 2001 to 2010 5.5%
    • 2011 to 2021 6.4%
  • Non-permanent residents 2.3%

Generation status for the population in private households

n = 106,680

  • First generation 22.3%
  • Second generation 13.8%
  • Third generation or more 63.9%

Admission category and applicant type for the immigrant population in private households who were admitted between 1980 and 2021

n = 18,655

    • Principal applicants 23.3%
    • Secondary applicants 25.6%
  • Immigrants sponsored by family 31.0%
  • Refugees 17.8%
  • Other immigrants 2.3%

Visible minority for the population in private households

    • Black 12.5%
    • Latin American 4.2%
    • Arab 4.0%
    • Southeast Asian 1.4%
    • Chinese 1.2%
    • Other (7 <1%) 1.5%
  • Not a visible minority 75.1%

Ethnic or cultural origin for the population in private households

n = 106,680

  • Canadian 25.5%
  • French, n.o.s. 19.6%
  • Québécois 12.8%
  • Haitian 6.7%
  • French Canadian 6.4%
  • Italian 4.2%
  • Irish 3.6%
  • Algerian 2.2%
  • African, n.o.s. 2.0%
  • Caucasian (White), n.o.s. 1.5%
  • First Nations (North American Indian), n.o.s. 1.5%
  • Arab, n.o.s. 1.5%
  • English 1.4%
  • Chinese 1.4%
  • Scottish 1.2%
  • Spanish 1.2%
  • Moroccan 1.1%
  • European, n.o.s. 1.0%
  • Portuguese 1.0%
  • Mexican 1.0%
  • Berber 1.0%

Religion for the population in private households

n = 106,680

  • Buddhist 0.9%
    • Catholic 50.9%
    • Christian, n.o.s. 6.5%
    • Other Christian and Christian-related traditions 1.8%
    • Other (12 <1%) 3.1%
  • Hindu 0.1%
  • Jewish 0.1%
  • Muslim 7.2%
  • Sikh 0.1%
  • Traditional (North American Indigenous) spirituality 0.0%
  • Other religions and spiritual traditions 0.3%
  • No religion and secular perspectives 29.0%

Highest certificate, diploma or degree for the population aged 15 years and over in private households

  • No certificate, diploma or degree 20.1%
  • High (secondary) school diploma or equivalency certificate 23.5%
    • Postsecondary certificate or diploma below bachelor level 36.8%
    • Bachelor's degree or higher 19.6%

Population aged 15 years and over by work activity during the reference year

    • Average weeks worked in reference year 41.6

Labour force aged 15 years and over by occupation - Broad category - National Occupational Classification (NOC) 2021

    • 0 Legislative and senior management occupations 1.1%
    • 1 Business, finance and administration occupations 19.3%
    • 2 Natural and applied sciences and related occupations 7.3%
    • 3 Health occupations 8.2%
    • 4 Occupations in education, law and social, community and government services 11.4%
    • 5 Occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport 2.8%
    • 6 Sales and service occupations 26.1%
    • 7 Trades, transport and equipment operators and related occupations 16.0%
    • 8 Natural resources, agriculture and related production occupations 0.5%
    • 9 Occupations in manufacturing and utilities 4.5%

First official language spoken for the total population excluding institutional residents

n = 107,460

  • English 5.0%
  • French 90.3%
  • English and French 3.8%
  • Neither English nor French 0.9%

Mother tongue for the total population excluding institutional residents

n = 107,460

    • Official languages 79.2%
    • Non-official languages 16.7%
    • French and non-official language(s) 2.2%
    • English and French 1.2%
    • Other (3 <1%) 0.8%

Language spoken most often at home for the total population excluding institutional residents

n = 107,460

    • Official languages 86.4%
    • Non-official languages 8.3%
    • French and non-official language(s) 2.8%
    • English and French 1.6%
    • Other (3 <1%) 0.9%

Other language(s) spoken regularly at home for the total population excluding institutional residents

n = 107,460

  • None 84.6%
  • English 3.8%
  • French 3.7%
    • Indigenous 0.0%
    • Non-Indigenous 4.9%
  • English and French 0.7%
  • English and non-official language(s) 1.4%
  • French and non-official language(s) 0.5%
  • English, French and non-official language(s) 0.1%
  • Multiple non-official languages 0.3%

Age at immigration for the immigrant population in private households

n = 20,740

  • Under 5 years 9.6%
  • 5 to 14 years 18.3%
  • 15 to 24 years 16.3%
  • 25 to 44 years 48.8%
  • 45 years and over 6.9%

Place of birth for the immigrant population in private households

n = 20,740

    • Brazil 0.8%
    • Colombia 2.0%
    • El Salvador 2.1%
    • Guyana 0
    • Haiti 18.3%
    • Jamaica 0.1%
    • Mexico 2.2%
    • Peru 1.9%
    • Trinidad and Tobago 0.1%
    • United States of America 1.5%
    • Other places of birth in Americas 7.2%
    • France 5.0%
    • Italy 2.8%
    • Other places of birth in Europe 2.5%
    • Portugal 2.1%
    • Romania 1.6%
    • Other (11 <1%) 2.5%
    • Algeria 14.0%
    • Other places of birth in Africa 12.8%
    • Morocco 4.8%
    • Congo, Democratic Republic of the 3.1%
    • Other (6 <1%) 0.5%
    • China 3.3%
    • Viet Nam 2.7%
    • Other places of birth in Asia 2.6%
    • Other (14 <1%) 3.5%
  • Oceania and other places of birth 0

Place of birth for the recent immigrant population in private households

n = 3,055

    • Brazil 1.3%
    • Colombia 1.3%
    • Haiti 11.9%
    • Jamaica 0
    • Mexico 3.1%
    • United States of America 2.9%
    • Venezuela 0.5%
    • Other places of birth in Americas 7.4%
    • France 6.1%
    • Other places of birth in Europe 2.1%
    • Other (6 <1%) 0.3%
    • Algeria 17.2%
    • Burundi 1.8%
    • Cameroon 9.5%
    • Congo, Democratic Republic of the 4.1%
    • Côte d'Ivoire 2.8%
    • Egypt 0
    • Eritrea 0
    • Ethiopia 0
    • Morocco 4.1%
    • Nigeria 0
    • Somalia 0
    • South Africa, Republic of 0
    • Sudan 0
    • Tunisia 2.6%
    • Other places of birth in Africa 13.3%
    • China 1.6%
    • Syria 1.5%
    • Other places of birth in Asia 1.1%
    • Other (19 <1%) 3.0%
    • Australia 0
    • Other places of birth 0

Pre-admission experience for the immigrant population in private households who were admitted between 1980 and 2021

n = 18,655

  • Asylum claim before admission 12.4%
  • Work permits only before admission 6.9%
  • Study permits only before admission 1.6%
  • Work and study permits before admission 2.9%
  • Other permits before admission 1.0%
  • No pre-admission experience 75.1%

All languages used at work for the population in private households aged 15 years and over who worked since January 1, 2020

n = 59,775

  • English 2.7%
  • French 69.0%
    • Indigenous 0
    • Non-Indigenous 0.2%
  • English and French 26.2%
  • English and non-official language(s) 0.2%
  • French and non-official language(s) 0.6%
  • English, French and non-official language(s) 1.1%
  • Multiple non-official languages 0.0%

Language used most often at work for the population aged 15 years and over who worked since January 1, 2020, in private households, 2021 Census

n = 59,775

    • Official languages 94.2%
    • Non-official languages 0.4%
    • English and French 5.0%
    • Other (4 <1%) 0.4%

Other language(s) used regularly at work for the population in private households aged 15 years and over who worked since January 1, 2020

n = 59,775

  • None 77.0%
  • English 17.6%
  • French 4.0%
    • Indigenous 0
    • Non-Indigenous 0.6%
  • English and French 0.0%
  • English and non-official language(s) 0.6%
  • French and non-official language(s) 0.1%
  • English, French and non-official language(s) 0
  • Multiple non-official languages 0.0%

Eligibility for instruction in the minority official language for the population in private households born in 2003 or later

n = 21,015

  • Children eligible for instruction in the minority official language 11.5%
  • Children not eligible for instruction in the minority official language 88.5%

Eligibility and instruction in the minority official language, for the population in private households born between 2003 and 2015 (inclusive)

n = 14,965

    • Eligible children who have been instructed in the minority official language at the primary or secondary level in Canada 8.8%
    • Eligible children who have not been instructed in the minority official language at the primary or secondary level in Canada 3.5%
  • Children not eligible for instruction in the minority official language 87.7%

RIDING ID · 202324031